Is Donald Trump Inflationary?
Money Tree Investing
Today we ask a burning question: is Donald Trump inflationary? We dive into the economic implications of Trump's policies, emphasizing their inflationary and deflationary effects. These measures could impact GDP, unemployment, wages, and inflation. We also explore the challenges of rising costs in basic necessities like food, transportation, and utilities, alongside broader concerns about the stock market's bullishness, potential corrections, and the need for sustainable economic growth. We also talk the commodity trends like coffee and the stock market's relationship to the Chinese...
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All Weather Investing Strategies
Money Tree Investing
Eric Crittenden is here to share the investing strategies for all weather! No matter what the situation is, you should be prepared to invest your money wisely. Eric shares insights on blending equities, bonds, and systematic global macro strategies like trend-following to navigate volatile markets, emphasizing the importance of managing downside risk and incorporating uncorrelated assets. We also reflect on macroeconomic trends, and compare today’s inflationary pressures to the 1970s, expressing skepticism about inflation being fully contained and stressing the value of systematic investing...
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The Two Handed Economist Surprise Prediction
Money Tree Investing
The two handed economist has a surprise prediction! Today we cover a wide range of topics such as market movements and our perceptions of the current economic and political climate. We talk our current leadership, particularly criticizing Gavin Newsom's handling of California's challenges, including wildfires and insurance issues. We also talk economic frameworks, including the effects of inflation and deflation on purchasing power. Today we discuss... The growing popularity of pickleball and its origins, along with its appeal to older demographics. Effective leadership styles by...
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Technological Revolution in Manufacturing
Money Tree Investing
Renan Devillieres discusses the currect techological revolution in manufacturing! This revolution is caused by geopolitical shifts and technological advancements, but also brings the challenges of decoupling from China, the pressing need for new factories and energy infrastructure, and the trade-offs of reshoring and more! Renan also shared insights into the role of AI-powered tools, autonomous roots, and emerging materials in shaping modern manufacturing. Today we discuss... Manufacturing is undergoing an unprecedented pace of change due to aging populations, geopolitical tensions, and...
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2025 Inflation Predictions
Money Tree Investing
Ready for inflation predictions? We discuss the places inflation could strike again in 2025. We also talk economic trends, inflationary patterns, and government spending's role in the economy. We also share the policy implications under different administrations, and how they will impact us going forward. Today we discuss... Reflection on broader U.S. economic issues, such as government spending and budgetary challenges. Analysis of past inflation cycles and comparisons to current monetary policy efforts. Speculation on future economic strategies and challenges in addressing discretionary...
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The Housing Crisis and Inflation: Barriers to the American Dream
Money Tree Investing
Economist Bob Frick joins us to talk about how the housing crisis and inflation and how they have become barriers to the American Dream. Bob draws from his unique background as a financial journalist and behavioral economist to address topics such as labor market dynamics, credit card debt, and more. Bob emphasizes the critical shortage of housing and potential economic impacts of policy changes, and their possible inflationary effects. We also talk about the interplay between economic growth, housing supply, and affordability. We discuss... Bob Frick shares his background as a...
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2025 Stock Market Predictions
Money Tree Investing
Get ready to invest because today we have your 2025 stock market predictions! Today we talk about how market predictions are typically futile due to the unpredictable nature of financial markets. We explore the trends of 2024, including the standout performers like Nvidia and Bitcoin, but don't assume that means they'll be the winners this year. We also talk active vs. passive management and investing strategies while addressing systemic issues in modern financial markets. Today we discuss... Annual tradition of financial predictions, and their inherent uncertainty. Recap of 2024's...
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Supercommunicators
Money Tree Investing
We are joined by one of my favorite authors Charles Duhigg to discuss his new book, Supercommunicators! We also jump around to chat about other topics like the role of crypto in politics, broader technology trends and AI, and challenges in private equity. Listen to learn more about how you can be the best communicator through having a strong connection. Today we discuss... Charles Duhigg's new book, Super Communicators, and reflects on his earlier works, The Power of Habit and Smarter Faster Better. Charles' background as a business journalist covering finance and technology for The New...
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Year End 2024 Wrap Up And Good Cheer
Money Tree Investing
2024 is over so we're going to share a 2024 wrap up! We explore reflections on the holiday season and its implications for financial markets. We share some touching on lighthearted holiday moments. And we also talk some broader topics such as the role of resilience in success and more! Join us as we wrap up 2024. Today we discuss... Low trading volume during the holidays is an opportunity to find potential deals, though the speaker suggests this may not be worth pursuing for most. The annual "best year ever" planning process, focusing on setting clear, intentional goals and narrowing...
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Trailblazers, Heroes and Crooks
Money Tree Investing
Steve Foerster, a finance professor and investment historian, to talk his latest book, Trailblazers, Heroes and Crooks: Stories to Make You a Smarter Investor. Steve shared insights into famous financial scandals, such as Bernie Madoff's Ponzi scheme, the Bre-X gold mining fraud, and the Salad Oil Swindle that almost toppled American Express. He highlighted key lessons from these events, including the importance of skepticism, recognizing red flags, and understanding how fraudsters exploit exclusivity and credibility to deceive. These historical stories underscore timeless lessons in...
info_outlineWhere is the Santa Clause Rally and why isn't it here yet? What is here however, is drones! Today we talk about the current events including drone sightings and assassinations. We highlight the lack of transparency in politics, corporate media, and Wall Street - there definitely needs to be critical thinking. We also address the "Santa Claus rally" phenomenon since it could be anecdotal as it lacks consistent data. We talk bullish market trends, year-end tax-loss selling, and being mindful of market seasonality and timing.
Today we discuss...
- High-profile events and media narratives around it.
- The wealth concentrated around Washington, D.C., highlighting systemic corruption.
- The "Santa Claus rally" phenomenon and its historical market impact.
- Analysis of seasonal market trends, including tax-loss harvesting and year-end buying opportunities.
- Observations on the rise of 401(k) millionaires, with caution about potential biases in data reporting.
- The Euphorometer shows that the stock market's current euphoria level is the highest in the last 30 years, warranting caution.
- Despite some bearish signals, the market is generally bullish with strong momentum.
- Foreign holdings of U.S. assets are at historic highs, signaling confidence in the U.S. economy.
- Job numbers are showing some signs of softness, which requires monitoring.
- Investors need a clear plan, whether it’s buy-and-hold or other strategies, and should stick with it through market fluctuations.
- Consumer bullishness is at odds with expectations for income growth, creating divergence in sentiment.
- The stock market’s sentiment is very strong, but investors should be cautious of potential over-optimism.
- The idea of having a flexible plan for market shifts, especially around year-end, is highlighted.
- The 60/40 portfolio model is becoming outdated as it struggles to balance volatility in bullish times.
- Momentum investing has its risks, as trends can change unexpectedly.
The U.S. deficit is rising rapidly, with projections suggesting a $3.5 trillion deficit. - Inflation-adjusted home prices are at historical highs, with housing prices showing significant growth since the late 90s.
- The income needed to afford a home has nearly doubled over the past decade, limiting demand.
- Despite challenges in the housing market, stock market expectations remain high, driven by hope rather than data.
For more information, visit the show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/where-is-the-santa-clause-rally
Today's Panelists:
Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth
Douglas Heagren | ProCollege Planners
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