Money Tree Investing

Get new ideas every week from Money Tree Investing Podcast! Come find out why our smart listeners love us. We find the top minds of investing and personal finance to join us on our show. Our guests and panelists talk about investing and personal finance ideas like how to find great investment ideas, building passive income, investing in real estate, financial independence, alternative investments, personal finance, money management, retirement, and finding new investment trends that are not yet mainstream.

Is Donald Trump Inflationary? 01/29/2025

Is Donald Trump Inflationary? Today we ask a burning question: is Donald Trump inflationary? We dive into the economic implications of Trump's policies, emphasizing their inflationary and deflationary effects. These measures could impact GDP, unemployment, wages, and inflation. We also explore the challenges of rising costs in basic necessities like food, transportation, and utilities, alongside broader concerns about the stock market's bullishness, potential corrections, and the need for sustainable economic growth. We also talk the commodity trends like coffee and the stock market's relationship to the Chinese calendar. We discuss... Trump's proposed policies—tax cuts, tariffs, government spending cuts, and border closures. Tax cuts and tariffs are inflationary, with tariffs passing costs to consumers and raising the price of goods. Border closures may increase food and low-wage labor costs, adding further inflationary pressure. Federal Reserve policy, including recent rate cuts, adds inflationary pressures, but further interest rate hikes may be necessary to control it. Essentials like car insurance, gas, and rent have significantly outpaced reported CPI inflation rates, putting pressure on everyday budgets. Addressing long-term inflation may require sustained economic growth, though achieving this remains a significant challenge. Inflation is impacting both dining out and eating at home, with rising costs creating financial challenges for consumers and restaurants alike. Billionaires prioritize keeping money in appreciating assets, contrasting with the "millionaire next door" approach of debt elimination. Trump coins and similar meme coins illustrate the rise of community-based cryptocurrencies, driven more by social networks than inherent value. Distrust in media, political institutions, and "gatekeepers of truth" underscores a growing reliance on decentralized, market-driven decision-making. Free markets naturally balance supply and demand, with pricing mechanisms reflecting societal values and priorities. Widespread skepticism of information sources reflects a societal shift toward questioning traditional authorities and media. Policies against nuclear energy inadvertently push reliance on coal to fill energy gaps, undermining efforts for a cleaner planet. The high cost of living in many U.S. states underscores the need for affordable energy to alleviate economic pressures on households. Economic inequalities persist, with credit card defaults rising and inflation impacting household spending, particularly in transportation, housing, and food. Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Douglas Heagren | Follow on Facebook: Follow LinkedIn: Follow on Twitter/X: For more information, visit the show notes at /episode/index/show/moneytreeinvesting/id/35045850

All Weather Investing Strategies 01/24/2025

All Weather Investing Strategies Eric Crittenden is here to share the investing strategies for all weather! No matter what the situation is, you should be prepared to invest your money wisely. Eric shares insights on blending equities, bonds, and systematic global macro strategies like trend-following to navigate volatile markets, emphasizing the importance of managing downside risk and incorporating uncorrelated assets. We also reflect on macroeconomic trends, and compare today’s inflationary pressures to the 1970s, expressing skepticism about inflation being fully contained and stressing the value of systematic investing over reliance on media narratives or short-term predictions. Today we discuss... Eric Crittenden, CIO at Standpoint Asset Management, specializes in "all-weather investing," combining hedge fund styles and traditional assets for stable returns in all market conditions. Eric's career began after transitioning from meteorology and public health studies to finance, spurred by a fascination with dynamic systems and risk management. He highlights the importance of managing downside risk and diversification, especially during challenging periods like the stagflation of the 1970s. Crittenden cautions against high-fee hedge fund structures, advocating for in-house, low-cost implementation of trend-following strategies. Gold, short-term fixed income, and systematic macro strategies are recommended for navigating inflationary and stagflationary periods. Rather than relying on narratives, Crittenden employs a systematic, data-focused method to identify global trends using daily updates from international futures exchanges. Current economic conditions are compared to historical eras like the 1970s, the Great Depression, and early 2000s, predicting major challenges in the next 10–15 years. Inflation could resurface due to supply chain disruptions, reindustrialization, or unexpected events rather than monetary policy alone. Decoupling from China and reindustrialization in North America are significant but costly, long-term efforts requiring high capital expenditure. Predicting economic shifts remains challenging as market shocks often come from unforeseen factors. Reindustrialization and reshoring initiatives face efficiency and scale challenges, particularly when transitioning manufacturing from China to smaller nations like Mexico or Vietnam. The U.S. benefits from unparalleled geographic advantages, which foster economic resilience and attract global talent. Technological shifts like AI and crypto are reminiscent of the early internet, with a mix of revolutionary potential and speculative overreach. Governments may challenge crypto through taxation or legal constraints, highlighting the importance of considering geopolitical risks in such investments. Long-term capital stewardship prioritizes sustainable growth, stability, and client trust over speculative gains or first-mover risks. For more information, visit the show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/investing-strategies-eric-crittenden-680 /episode/index/show/moneytreeinvesting/id/34984900

The Two Handed Economist Surprise Prediction 01/22/2025

The Two Handed Economist Surprise Prediction The two handed economist has a surprise prediction! Today we cover a wide range of topics such as market movements and our perceptions of the current economic and political climate. We talk our current leadership, particularly criticizing Gavin Newsom's handling of California's challenges, including wildfires and insurance issues. We also talk economic frameworks, including the effects of inflation and deflation on purchasing power. Today we discuss... The growing popularity of pickleball and its origins, along with its appeal to older demographics. Effective leadership styles by referencing Steve Jobs and Joe Rogan as examples of accountability. The systemic issues with inflation, focusing on how purchasing power declines over time due to currency devaluation. Bitcoin, gold, and real estate to illustrate inflationary trends and their impact on perceived asset values. Encouraging viewers to adopt a long-term perspective on financial decisions, taking into account the erosion of currency value. The Federal Reserve's policies aim to reduce volatility, making economic decision-making easier, albeit at the cost of consistent inflation eroding purchasing power. Cash outperforms in market crashes as its purchasing power increases, enabling investors to acquire discounted assets. The current market, based on metrics like the Schiller CAPE ratio, remains historically overvalued, raising caution for future corrections. Even if the market drops by half, it would still be expensive, suggesting a significant correction is required for reasonable valuations. A large flow of money into indexes has contributed to elevated valuations, pushing prices higher even beyond practical expectations. Since a significant amount of money continues to flow into the market each year, it's difficult to predict when a true market collapse might happen. The current market behavior shows that it could rise even further than expected, despite economic uncertainty. Even in extreme scenarios like COVID, when the global economy shut down, the market showed resilience, defying expectations of a larger crash. For more information, visit the show notes at Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Douglas Heagren | Follow on Facebook: Follow LinkedIn: Follow on Twitter/X: /episode/index/show/moneytreeinvesting/id/34948450

Technological Revolution in Manufacturing 01/17/2025

Technological Revolution in Manufacturing Renan Devillieres discusses the currect techological revolution in manufacturing! This revolution is caused by geopolitical shifts and technological advancements, but also brings the challenges of decoupling from China, the pressing need for new factories and energy infrastructure, and the trade-offs of reshoring and more! Renan also shared insights into the role of AI-powered tools, autonomous roots, and emerging materials in shaping modern manufacturing. Today we discuss... Manufacturing is undergoing an unprecedented pace of change due to aging populations, geopolitical tensions, and technological advances. Decoupling from China is driving a reshoring trend in the West, with significant investments in factories and supply chains. Energy infrastructure is a critical bottleneck, with advancements in small nuclear reactors and decentralized grids emerging as key solutions. The shift toward high-utilization products, like self-driving cars and multifunctional smartphones, is reshaping manufacturing priorities. Reshoring and decoupling come with trade-offs, including inflation and societal adjustments, as countries aim for self-sufficiency. AI and manufacturing depend heavily on energy availability, with Silicon Valley now embracing nuclear power as a vital resource. Simulation software enables precise virtual modeling of production processes, reducing reliance on physical tests. Advancements in 3D printing improve resolution and applications, but material limitations prevent it from replacing traditional manufacturing processes. Talent shortages, particularly in mechanical engineering and manufacturing expertise, hinder progress in industrial innovation. Rebuilding localized supply chains, such as Tesla's vertical integration, is essential for reducing reliance on international dependencies. Bridging the gap between R&D and production in pharmaceuticals could drastically reduce costs and timelines. Healthier food systems face challenges from industrialized production, affordability concerns, and systemic quality issues. Consumer demand for healthier food is gradually increasing, signaling potential shifts in market dynamics. The food sector’s transformation may be catalyzed by breakthroughs, scandals, or evolving consumer preferences. For more information, visit the show notes at Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Barbara Friedberg | Follow on Facebook: Follow LinkedIn: Follow on Twitter/X: /episode/index/show/moneytreeinvesting/id/34890170

2025 Inflation Predictions 01/15/2025

2025 Inflation Predictions Ready for inflation predictions? We discuss the places inflation could strike again in 2025. We also talk economic trends, inflationary patterns, and government spending's role in the economy. We also share the policy implications under different administrations, and how they will impact us going forward. Today we discuss... Reflection on broader U.S. economic issues, such as government spending and budgetary challenges. Analysis of past inflation cycles and comparisons to current monetary policy efforts. Speculation on future economic strategies and challenges in addressing discretionary spending. Younger generations often assume they won't receive Social Security benefits due to government mismanagement and financial instability. Reducing government spending could have deflationary effects by removing a significant portion of GDP, potentially causing recessions. Tax cuts are generally inflationary as they increase disposable income, but public dissatisfaction with perceived government waste limits willingness to pay higher taxes. Immigration impacts economic growth by providing cheap labor, but eliminating low-wage workers could lead to higher food costs and inflation. Energy abundance, particularly through nuclear power, is highlighted as a critical factor for economic growth and poverty alleviation. Analysts remain cautious about the economy's direction, advocating for managed investment risk and avoiding "all-in" strategies amidst uncertainty. Nuclear energy is resisted due to public concerns (e.g., NIMBY sentiment) despite its potential as a clean energy source. Rising energy costs directly impact household budgets, inflating expenses for housing, insurance, and transportation. Economic inflation has made $100,000—a salary once considered wealthy—barely sufficient to meet the average American household's annual expenses. Housing affordability challenges persist as property taxes and insurance costs outpace wages, undermining traditional financial planning strategies. Perceptions of climate change vary widely, with debates centering on human versus natural causes and the effectiveness of governmental policies. Conspiracy theories about disasters like wildfires gain traction amid frustrations with government responses and insurance industry practices. A significant portion of U.S. income inequality debates focus on the disparity between being "rich" (high income) versus "wealthy" (high net worth). For more information, visit the show notes at Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Douglas Heagren | Follow on Facebook: Follow LinkedIn: Follow on Twitter/X: /episode/index/show/moneytreeinvesting/id/34860785

The Housing Crisis and Inflation: Barriers to the American Dream 01/10/2025

The Housing Crisis and Inflation: Barriers to the American Dream Economist Bob Frick joins us to talk about how the housing crisis and inflation and how they have become barriers to the American Dream. Bob draws from his unique background as a financial journalist and behavioral economist to address topics such as labor market dynamics, credit card debt, and more. Bob emphasizes the critical shortage of housing and potential economic impacts of policy changes, and their possible inflationary effects. We also talk about the interplay between economic growth, housing supply, and affordability. We discuss... Bob Frick shares his background as a financial journalist and behavioral economist, focusing on consumer issues like housing, cars, loans, and credit cards. Potential inflationary effects of policy changes, including tariffs, deportations, and reductions in legal immigration. Wage inflation, which has risen since the pandemic but struggles to outpace the cumulative effects of high inflation. Credit card debt trends, including rising balances and late payments, with potential stabilization observed in recent months. The lack of affordable starter homes, with rising median homeownership ages and unaffordable prices for younger buyers. How post-COVID low mortgage rates drove demand, compounding pre-existing housing shortages and resulting in skyrocketing home prices. Current housing market sales are only a quarter of pre-COVID levels, reflecting affordability and inventory issues. Low-interest mortgage rates from previous years contribute to a "lock-in" effect, discouraging homeowners from moving. Builders and flippers have reduced activity, with fewer properties meeting profitability thresholds. Inflation and rising mortgage rates exacerbate affordability challenges, especially for lower-income households. Labor market conditions remain strong but are often misinterpreted due to volatile reporting and outdated measurement methods. Economic forecasts are inherently unreliable, influenced by cognitive biases and behavioral tendencies toward belief in prediction. For more information, visit the show notes at Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Barbara Friedberg | Phil Weiss | Follow on Facebook: Follow LinkedIn: Follow on Twitter/X: /episode/index/show/moneytreeinvesting/id/34792565

2025 Stock Market Predictions 01/08/2025

2025 Stock Market Predictions Get ready to invest because today we have your 2025 stock market predictions! Today we talk about how market predictions are typically futile due to the unpredictable nature of financial markets. We explore the trends of 2024, including the standout performers like Nvidia and Bitcoin, but don't assume that means they'll be the winners this year. We also talk active vs. passive management and investing strategies while addressing systemic issues in modern financial markets. Today we discuss... Annual tradition of financial predictions, and their inherent uncertainty. Recap of 2024's top-performing stocks and commodities, as well as the underperformers. Discussion on the pitfalls of market predictions and human tendencies to forecast the future. Critique of over-reliance on index investing and its long-term implications for market efficiency and corporate accountability. Free markets are beneficial but pose dangers to those unprepared, with current markets heavily influenced by Federal Reserve interventions. The stock market is bolstered by government actions and large institutional players, creating artificial market stability. Warren Buffett’s underperformance in recent decades is attributed to deviating from his investment principles and managing too much capital. Global markets show mixed trends: Japan is recovering after a long bear market, while European and value stocks remain stagnant. Crypto adoption is growing, supported by corporate treasury strategies, with Bitcoin gaining popularity despite speculative concerns. Meme coins and other speculative assets occasionally deliver massive returns, but their long-term viability remains uncertain. Cryptocurrency markets showed extreme volatility, with some coins seeing significant gains since the election, while others exhibit questionable valuations. Oil prices have rebounded after a lackluster start to the year, with late-year momentum contributing to recent gains. The S&P 500 has grown modestly by 3% since the election, while gold prices have declined by 3.9%. Risks to global markets in 2025 include tariffs, Nvidia earnings volatility, a reaccelerating U.S. economy, and persistent inflation concerns. Predictions for U.S. recession in 2025 are mixed, with some indicators suggesting low probability despite ongoing uncertainties. The 2025 market landscape will likely feature conflicting bullish and bearish indicators, complicating clear directional forecasts. A recurring theme emerged: there are no inherently good or bad stocks, only good or bad prices depending on market conditions. Disclaimers emphasized that past performance of assets should not be interpreted as predictions for future results. For more information, visit the show notes at Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Douglas Heagren | Follow on Facebook: Follow LinkedIn: Follow on Twitter/X: /episode/index/show/moneytreeinvesting/id/34754620

Supercommunicators 01/03/2025

Supercommunicators We are joined by one of my favorite authors Charles Duhigg to discuss his new book, Supercommunicators! We also jump around to chat about other topics like the role of crypto in politics, broader technology trends and AI, and challenges in private equity. Listen to learn more about how you can be the best communicator through having a strong connection. Today we discuss... Charles Duhigg's new book, Super Communicators, and reflects on his earlier works, The Power of Habit and Smarter Faster Better. Charles' background as a business journalist covering finance and technology for The New Yorker and his previous experiences at The New York Times and Harvard Business School. A recent article about Silicon Valley’s and the crypto industry's political influence. The debate over crypto regulations, contrasting the SEC's push for securities oversight with the industry's argument for recognition as commodities. Long-term changes in business and daily computing due to AI. Private equity and the impact of high interest rates, the overabundance of funds, and the potential for a reckoning in the industry. Historical trends in financial products that offered high yields, such as mortgage-backed securities, SPACs, and crypto lending. Examples of creative financial models like lending gold to jewelers and crypto lending, with an analysis of regulatory challenges and risks. Introduction to the book Supercommunicators, focusing on the skills and principles of effective communication. Explanation of the concept of "matching conversations" to foster trust and understanding in communication. Stories of individuals who overcame communication challenges to become skilled influencers, emphasizing learned rather than innate abilities. Strategies for improving communication through empathy, alignment, and intentional practice. Deep questions allow people to share personal stories, creating a shared sense of understanding and vulnerability. Authentic listening enhances trust and alignment between conversational partners, especially in emotionally charged or conflict discussions. Salespeople and professionals often falter by failing to genuinely engage, focusing instead on their own agenda. Successfully navigating conversations involves identifying their type, aligning with the speaker's mindset, and transitioning between types collaboratively. For more information, visit the show notes at Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Barbara Friedberg | Phil Weiss | Follow on Facebook: Follow LinkedIn: Follow on Twitter/X: /episode/index/show/moneytreeinvesting/id/34674790

Year End 2024 Wrap Up And Good Cheer 01/01/2025

Year End 2024 Wrap Up And Good Cheer 2024 is over so we're going to share a 2024 wrap up! We explore reflections on the holiday season and its implications for financial markets. We share some touching on lighthearted holiday moments. And we also talk some broader topics such as the role of resilience in success and more! Join us as we wrap up 2024. Today we discuss... Low trading volume during the holidays is an opportunity to find potential deals, though the speaker suggests this may not be worth pursuing for most. The annual "best year ever" planning process, focusing on setting clear, intentional goals and narrowing down focus to a single word or goal for the year. A lesson from Jensen Huang, CEO of Nvidia, stressing the importance of pain and suffering in building resilience and character. 2025 could be a rough year, urging reflection and resilience as part of the process of preparing for the challenges ahead. The steady rise in the average age of parents at birth, which correlates with broader economic trends, including rising dual-income households. The challenges of wage growth compared to the rising costs of living, and how it's harder to keep up financially. The divergence between real wages of good-producing workers and major sector productivity. Whether job market softness is causative or correlational, with significant revisions indicating weaker-than-expected job numbers. Housing costs are rising, but 52% of newly constructed apartments in Q2 of 2024 were rented within three months, which is down significantly from 2021. The cost of buying a home is now higher compared to renting in many cases, yet new apartments are not renting out quickly. A rise in homelessness by 18% in the past year, reflecting growing social strain. Market trends, including the disparity between intraday and overnight trading, highlight inefficiencies in market timing. A nod to Bob Farrell's "10 rules for the stock market," emphasizing the cyclical nature of markets and the dominance of sentiment over fundamentals. Emotions often drive investments, and people are drawn to trends like cryptocurrency, regardless of logical fundamentals. Cryptocurrency's rise defies fundamental analysis and is driven by factors beyond traditional market metrics. Successful investing requires understanding both fundamentals and technical analysis, with the latter helping to determine optimal entry points. A trading journal can help track investments, reasons for purchasing, and exit strategies to avoid emotional decision-making. Uncertainty in the market should be managed through thoughtful strategy reviews. For more information, visit the show notes at Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Douglas Heagren | Follow on Facebook: Follow LinkedIn: Follow on Twitter/X: /episode/index/show/moneytreeinvesting/id/34670770

Trailblazers, Heroes and Crooks 12/27/2024

Trailblazers, Heroes and Crooks Steve Foerster, a finance professor and investment historian, to talk his latest book, Trailblazers, Heroes and Crooks: Stories to Make You a Smarter Investor. Steve shared insights into famous financial scandals, such as Bernie Madoff's Ponzi scheme, the Bre-X gold mining fraud, and the Salad Oil Swindle that almost toppled American Express. He highlighted key lessons from these events, including the importance of skepticism, recognizing red flags, and understanding how fraudsters exploit exclusivity and credibility to deceive. These historical stories underscore timeless lessons in vigilance and sound investment practices. Today we discuss... Steve Foerster, professor of finance and investment historian, discussed his background and books, including Trailblazers, Heroes, and Crooks and his work on the biography of Nobel Laureate Bill Sharpe. The psychology of exclusivity and trust in Madoff's scheme, including his reputation as NASDAQ chairman. The Bre-X mining scandal of the 1990s, detailing fraudulent gold sample salting, conspiracy theories surrounding Mike De Guzman, and the challenges of evaluating mining investments. Mark Twain's observation on mining, "a hole in the ground with a liar on top," was used to underscore skepticism in speculative industries. The 1960s Salad Oil Swindle, focusing on Tino De Angelis' fraudulent practices and their near-collapse of American Express. Buffett's significant investment in American Express, based on its strong reputation despite the scandal, resulted in a two-and-a-half-fold return within 18 months. Research and perseverance can lead to great returns, as Wall Street tends to sell indiscriminately during tough times. Warren Buffett's support of management during a crisis helped American Express recover and solidify its reputation. The tension between short-term profits and long-term value was central to Buffett's approach, focusing on long-term growth. Hetty Green, a 19th-century investor, was a pioneering value investor who predicted market trends and became a major player in railroads and mortgages. During the Panic of 1907, Hetty Green predicted the failure of a major trust company and later lent to New York City, preventing bankruptcy. Bobby Bonilla's deferred payment contract with the New York Mets showcased the importance of understanding time value of money and opportunity cost. The story of Cristiano Ronaldo’s snubbing of Coca-Cola at a press conference led to a $4 billion market drop, but it was actually due to the stock’s ex-dividend date, not his actions. The Coca-Cola stock drop was an example of correlation not equaling causation, teaching the importance of distinguishing between the two in investing. Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Phil Weiss | Jeff Hulett | Follow on Facebook: Follow LinkedIn: Follow on Twitter/X: For more information, visit the show notes at /episode/index/show/moneytreeinvesting/id/34558405

Happy Festivus & Christmas Trends 12/25/2024

Happy Festivus & Christmas Trends Today we cover a mix of festive holiday reflections and current Christmas trends. We debate the merits of artificial versus real trees, the Federal Reserve's recent decision to lower interest rates, market reactions, and the potential onset of a recession, and historical cases like Puerto Rico's bond defaults, and more! It's a Merry Christmas here! Today we discuss... How Hanukkah's alignment with Christmas is rare due to differing solar cycles and offers a unique multi-year celebration opportunity for 2024-2025. A shift from real to artificial Christmas trees, driven by mold allergies. A personal tradition of year-end reflection, dubbed "Best Year Ever," emphasizing life evaluation and goal setting over a two-week holiday break. Fed Chair Powell's interest rate cuts and their implications for markets and economic confidence were analyzed, with insights on potential recession signals like the inverted yield curve. Economic indicators, including high-yield bond performance and confidence metrics, were examined to forecast recession risks and investor sentiment. The Puerto Rican bond default served as a cautionary tale for assessing risks in high-yield portfolios, drawing parallels to current market trends. Market bullishness is fueled by a strong economy, decent earnings, and optimism about new presidential policies perceived as pro-business. Concerns were raised about tariff policies potentially replacing income tax and their inflationary implications. The market appears overvalued, with current performance exceeding economic fundamentals, risking a potential correction. Reversion to the mean was discussed as a natural market dynamic, suggesting that extreme highs or lows eventually balance out. Rising money market assets reflect cautious investor behavior, with significant cash reserves awaiting better market valuations. Inflationary pressures are linked to reduced supply and increased money supply, paralleling market dynamics. Markets need a perceived value shift to attract sidelined liquidity. Year-end is a prime time to reassess portfolios and consider tax implications. Reflect on strong market performance and evaluate whether reallocating or profit-taking is prudent. December 31st and January 1st are pivotal market dates due to tax-loss selling and portfolio rebalancing. Diversification theory, while historically valuable, may now be less effective due to increased asset correlation. Risk is the permanent loss of capital, whereas volatility is short-term price fluctuation. The current bull market may soon rival the 1990s tech boom in duration and performance, though a mean reversion is expected. High-yield bonds should be viewed more like high-dividend equities due to their risk and reward profile. Online shopping has grown but still accounts for less than 20% of total retail sales. Men and women share similar preferences for holiday gifts, favoring money, clothing, and gift cards. Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Douglas Heagren | Follow on Facebook: Follow LinkedIn: Follow on Twitter/X: For more information, visit the show notes at /episode/index/show/moneytreeinvesting/id/34579825

Asset Protection For Lawsuits and Divorce 12/20/2024

Asset Protection For Lawsuits and Divorce Blake Harris shares tips for how to improve your asset protection! The conversation delves into how offshore trusts differ from domestic ones. Blake also dispels misconceptions about offshore trusts, emphasizing their legality and utility for asset protection rather than tax evasion. We explore how these trusts work, the best jurisdictions for establishing them, and the practical benefits for individuals seeking robust asset protection. Today we discuss... Offshore trusts help protect assets from lawsuits and divorces while allowing clients to retain control over their investments. Asset protection trusts are designed to prevent courts from easily seizing assets. Offshore trusts offer stronger protection compared to domestic trusts by shifting control to foreign trustees in jurisdictions like the Cook Islands. Offshore trusts provide access to foreign investments and international diversification opportunities. Unlike older practices of hiding money offshore, these trusts comply with IRS reporting requirements and are not used for tax evasion. Countries like the Cook Islands, Nevis, and Belize offer asset protection laws, but the Cook Islands are regarded as the strongest jurisdiction. Domestic trusts are weaker because U.S. courts can compel trustees to hand over assets. Offshore trusts can help clients negotiate favorable settlements or avoid lawsuits altogether. Compliance with offshore trust regulations involves some reporting but is manageable with expert guidance. Asset protection trusts primarily safeguard cash, stocks, bonds, crypto, gold, and silver in Swiss bank accounts. Cryptocurrency can be held under a Cook Islands trust via self-custody, third-party vaults, or Swiss bank accounts. Real estate is typically held in LLCs tied to the trust, with options for further protection through equity stripping. Divorces are treated as "super creditor" cases, but Cook Islands trustees can refuse to release funds under duress. Clients comply with court orders but trustees protect assets by requiring sworn statements of no duress. U.S. courts cannot force clients to perjure themselves, further securing trust assets. Over 10 million lawsuits are filed annually in the U.S., creating a need for robust asset protection strategies. For more information, visit the show notes at /episode/index/show/moneytreeinvesting/id/34535000

Where Is The Santa Claus Rally??? 12/18/2024

Where Is The Santa Claus Rally??? Where is the Santa Clause Rally and why isn't it here yet? What is here however, is drones! Today we talk about the current events including drone sightings and assassinations. We highlight the lack of transparency in politics, corporate media, and Wall Street - there definitely needs to be critical thinking. We also address the "Santa Claus rally" phenomenon since it could be anecdotal as it lacks consistent data. We talk bullish market trends, year-end tax-loss selling, and being mindful of market seasonality and timing. Today we discuss... High-profile events and media narratives around it. The wealth concentrated around Washington, D.C., highlighting systemic corruption. The "Santa Claus rally" phenomenon and its historical market impact. Analysis of seasonal market trends, including tax-loss harvesting and year-end buying opportunities. Observations on the rise of 401(k) millionaires, with caution about potential biases in data reporting. The Euphorometer shows that the stock market's current euphoria level is the highest in the last 30 years, warranting caution. Despite some bearish signals, the market is generally bullish with strong momentum. Foreign holdings of U.S. assets are at historic highs, signaling confidence in the U.S. economy. Job numbers are showing some signs of softness, which requires monitoring. Investors need a clear plan, whether it’s buy-and-hold or other strategies, and should stick with it through market fluctuations. Consumer bullishness is at odds with expectations for income growth, creating divergence in sentiment. The stock market’s sentiment is very strong, but investors should be cautious of potential over-optimism. The idea of having a flexible plan for market shifts, especially around year-end, is highlighted. The 60/40 portfolio model is becoming outdated as it struggles to balance volatility in bullish times. Momentum investing has its risks, as trends can change unexpectedly. The U.S. deficit is rising rapidly, with projections suggesting a $3.5 trillion deficit. Inflation-adjusted home prices are at historical highs, with housing prices showing significant growth since the late 90s. The income needed to afford a home has nearly doubled over the past decade, limiting demand. Despite challenges in the housing market, stock market expectations remain high, driven by hope rather than data. For more information, visit the show notes at Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Douglas Heagren | Follow on Facebook: Follow LinkedIn: Follow on Twitter/X: /episode/index/show/moneytreeinvesting/id/34494130

How Credit Impacts Your Daily Life 12/13/2024

Thanksgiving And Turkey Hangover Is Over… Santa Clause Rally Here We Come 12/11/2024

Thanksgiving And Turkey Hangover Is Over… Santa Clause Rally Here We Come Thanksgiving is over and now we're heading into Christmas season! Today we touch on financial planning, likening it to solving a maze by starting at the end: envisioning life goals and working backward to build a plan. We talk about the concept of a "Misogi" or a major annual goal to focus on, aligning it with strategies like bucket lists and planning retirement activities early to maximize fulfillment. Financial freedom isn't just about amassing wealth but about enabling experiences and meaningful life choices and these choices are even important during Christmas! Today we discuss... Time is the most valuable resource because it cannot be created or extended, unlike money. Social engagement and new activities are crucial for mental well-being, especially in retirement. Retirement follows five stages, from anticipation to reflection on health and family as priorities. Over-spending is common in the early retirement phase due to increased free time and enthusiasm. Financial planning should begin with identifying life goals and working backward to achieve them. A "bucket list" approach helps ensure meaningful experiences are prioritized early in life. Start financial planning by envisioning retirement goals and deconstructing them into actionable steps. Inflation, taxes, market volatility, longevity, liquidity, and spending are critical risks to consider in financial planning. Longevity compounds other risks like inflation, taxes, and volatility, making it crucial to plan for extended lifespans. Extending working years is another strategy, but it is subject to factors like health and employment opportunities. Spending adjustments are a common way people adapt to financial limitations, underscoring human resilience. Behavioral finance plays a significant role in managing wealth and mitigating emotional biases. Leveraging Bitcoin or other assets on a company’s balance sheet can offer growth opportunities but requires careful risk assessment. Many financial planners fail to address college and housing costs effectively, leading to unnecessary wealth loss. A long-term focus and proactive planning are essential for achieving financial and familial goals. For more information, visit the show notes at Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Douglas Heagren | Follow on Facebook: Follow LinkedIn: Follow on Twitter/X: /episode/index/show/moneytreeinvesting/id/34364625

A Golden Opportunity In Small and Mid-Sized Banks 12/06/2024

A Golden Opportunity In Small and Mid-Sized Banks John Palmer delves into his extensive career in banking, and highlights the golden opportunity that lies in small and mid-sized banks. He highlights trends like consolidation, regulatory evolution, and technological advancements. Looking ahead, he is optimistic about the banking sector’s recovery cycle and its capacity for sustained growth, even amid challenges like commercial real estate pressures and emerging fintech innovations. Today we discuss... John Palmer shared his extensive experience in the banking industry, including his career start at KPMG and his transition to founding a banking-focused investment fund in 1996. How the banking industry has undergone massive consolidation since the 1990s driven largely by efficiency and cost-saving opportunities. Key trends like stricter regulations, higher capital requirements, improved loan underwriting, and the transformative impact of technology on banking operations. The causes of the recent crises at Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank, and First Republic, emphasizing asset-liability mismanagement during rapid rate hikes. Blockchain technology acknowledged as a potential long-term asset for banks and skepticism about the role of cryptocurrency in traditional banking. The current banking stock cycle entering an upward phase, with profitability projected to grow steadily through 2026. Bank earnings and stock performance are rising, driven by factors like margin expansion and easing deposit costs. Banks with $1-$10 billion in assets are attractive targets for M&A due to cost savings and growth opportunities. Major banks are expanding branch networks in rural areas, targeting low-cost deposits, while smaller banks focus more on digital channels. The Midwest and Mideast regions show the most M&A activity, though the Southeast and California are also of interest. Investments focus on public banks with shareholder lists amenable to proxy support for structural changes. Banking regulation relief under a new administration could lower compliance costs and ease capital requirements. A normalized yield curve is boosting loan repricing and margins, contributing to earnings growth. Bank valuations remain attractive compared to broader markets, with banking stocks trading at significant discounts to earnings. For more information, visit the show notes at Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Phil Weiss | Follow on Facebook: Follow LinkedIn: Follow on Twitter/X: /episode/index/show/moneytreeinvesting/id/34309365

Turkey Hangover 12/04/2024

Turkey Hangover We're in a turkey hangover but that won't stop us from diving into investing strategies. We share how, by playing to their strengths and finding external support for areas of weakness, investors can reduce risk and enhance returns. We also talk niche investment opportunities in private companies and specific sectors, such as SpaceX and Stripe appearing in mutual funds, which is why you need to stay informed about evolving markets. Today we discuss... Kirk Chisholm reflects on a relaxing Thanksgiving filled with family time, turkey football, and setting up a backyard hockey rink. Doug Hagran shares his Thanksgiving highlights, including a successful deer hunting trip and attending a Minnesota Vikings game. Doug criticizes Ohio State's strategy after the loss against Michigan, emphasizing the failure to adapt and utilize their strengths against Michigan. How investors should align their strategies with their personal psychology and avoid imitating others, like Warren Buffett or hedge fund managers. Understanding personal strengths and weaknesses is critical for reducing risk and enhancing financial success. Using funds or managers for areas outside one's expertise can optimize returns and minimize risks. Private companies are being included in mutual funds, offering potential new investment opportunities for retail investors. Private equity investments often face challenges like high costs, illiquidity, and limited transparency. Liquidity is crucial in uncertain markets to avoid being trapped in illiquid investments during downturns. End-of-year tax-loss selling provides opportunities to buy undervalued stocks as investors offload losses. Macroeconomic factors like government cost-cutting and debt management significantly influence market trends and investment strategies. Growth stocks currently outperform due to optimism and favorable interest rate environments, but risks persist. Gold is noted for being less volatile than Bitcoin, but Bitcoin's upside has been stronger. The importance of moving on from losses, whether in elections, investing, or other domains, is underscored as a path to better decision-making. For more information, visit the show notes at Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Douglas Heagren | Follow on Facebook: Follow LinkedIn: Follow on Twitter/X: /episode/index/show/moneytreeinvesting/id/34277445

Macro Trading Opportunities 11/29/2024

Macro Trading Opportunities Tony Greer is here to share Macro Trading opportunities based on his insights from his dynamic career as a trader, spanning roles in FX and more, to his transition to founding The Morning Navigator newsletter. Tony reflects on the challenges of trading during the dot-com bubble, emphasizing the lessons learned from navigating volatile bear markets and adapting to shifts in trading technology. Tony explains how he thrives in today’s fast-paced trading environment, benefiting from volatility to capitalize on market moves. Today we discuss... Tony Greer divided his career into two halves: trading FX and commodities at Goldman Sachs, then moving into equity sales while consistently writing about markets. His independent trading firm during the 2000 tech bubble was an 18-month break-even experience, offering valuable lessons in market volatility and sentiment. Tony’s enduring passion is his market commentary, culminating in his newsletter The Morning Navigator, now in its ninth year. Tony attributes his trading success to learning from both bull and bear markets, emphasizing that bear markets require a different, more challenging skillset. Tony highlights the evolution of trading, from transparent electronic montages in the early 2000s to today’s opaque markets dominated by dark pools and hidden orders. His approach relies heavily on technical analysis, using risk-reward setups and trailing stop-loss strategies to navigate volatile markets. Tony’s macro calls are driven by observing market sentiment and trends. With the rise of ETFs, options, and daily expirations, Tony notes that markets have become more dynamic and unpredictable, fueling opportunities for active traders. Markets often telegraph political outcomes, as seen when Trump’s polling surge triggered a market breakout. Post-election market moves often reflect emotional reactions and capital deployment in favored sectors. Bank stocks and financials surged on election news, signaling bullish sentiment with substantial sector-wide moves. A steepening yield curve is a sign of economic health, often correlated with improving data and rising interest rates. The S&P’s consistent earnings growth supports its role as a robust inflation hedge and investment choice. Trading strategies vary across time horizons, with different accounts dedicated to day trading, mid-term investments, and long-term positions. Success in trading requires passion, discipline, and finding a personal methodology that works for the individual. Markets thrive on diversity in strategies—there’s no single “right way” to trade or invest. Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Phil Weiss | Follow on Facebook: Follow LinkedIn: Follow on Twitter/X: For more information, visit the show notes at /episode/index/show/moneytreeinvesting/id/34193145

Cryptocurrency Up… Gold Down… What Could Possibly Go Wrong? 11/27/2024

Cryptocurrency Up… Gold Down… What Could Possibly Go Wrong? As the Friday before Thanksgiving unfolds, we are seeing cryptocurrency up and gold down! The markets are in a reflective yet volatile state. The emergence of Bitcoin options sparks intrigue and skepticism, with aggressive call-to-put ratios suggesting speculative fervor but also significant risk. Amid these market shifts, a broader discussion unfolds on the profitability of writing versus buying options, with no definitive data but a clear invitation for insights from more experienced market participants. Today we discuss... The Thanksgiving holiday week is historically a peculiar time for trading, with irregular schedules impacting market activity. The introduction of Bitcoin options has sparked curiosity, with high premiums signaling extreme market expectations but posing significant risks. Bitcoin's potential inclusion as a U.S. reserve asset has revived discussions, despite being a long-standing topic without concrete developments. Options trading serves as a tool for managing risk, with ongoing debate about whether option writers consistently outperform buyers. Advanced data and analysis on options market outcomes could provide valuable insights for seasoned investors. The Ethereum market has rebounded to a normal range but has underperformed Bitcoin. Bitcoin has benefited from two factors: election outcomes and speculation about its potential role as a reserve asset. Trump was strongly pro-Bitcoin, while Harris has shown lukewarm support, affecting market perceptions. Speculation on Bitcoin's role as a reserve asset has driven short-term price spikes. There are significant challenges to making Bitcoin a reserve asset due to its price volatility and speculative nature. Bitcoin's fixed supply and hoarding behavior contribute to its price volatility and limit its practicality as a currency. The U.S. government could use confiscated Bitcoin for reserves without impacting the market. Michael Saylor's leveraged Bitcoin strategy demonstrates the high-risk, high-reward nature of such plays. Bitcoin is increasingly seen as an asset class rather than a functional currency. The limited liquidity in Bitcoin due to speculative holding patterns mirrors challenges in other markets with reduced float. Small-cap stocks have performed well post-election, partly due to optimism about domestic economic policies. Small-cap indexes like the S&P 600 are stricter on profitability compared to the broader Russell 2000, impacting valuation clarity. Structural differences in today's IPO and investment landscape may affect the long-term potential of small caps. For more information, visit the show notes at Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Phil Weiss | Follow on Facebook: Follow LinkedIn: Follow on Twitter/X: /episode/index/show/moneytreeinvesting/id/34154290

Retirement Solutions & Challenges For Each Generation 11/22/2024

Retirement Solutions & Challenges For Each Generation Anne Lester is here to discuss the retirement solutions and challenges that are facing each generation. Ann shares insights into the challenges of saving for retirement, influenced by her personal experiences as a former "terrible saver." There is a lot the anxiety surrounding retirement savings, the pitfalls of focusing on "the number," and the importance of understanding personal spending flexibility and failure lines. Ann discusses generational differences in retirement preparedness and highlights strategies for building retirement savings, such as saving future raises and adjusting spending priorities. Today we discuss... How Anne helped create the JP Morgan Smart Retirement Target Date Fund. Retirement challenges, including income uncertainty and spending in later life. Understanding personal "failure lines" and acceptable lifestyle adjustments. Generational wealth differences, with Gen Z and Millennials saving more early. The importance of employer-sponsored 401(k) plans for wealth building. Younger generations face challenges saving for retirement but are encouraged to stay the course for long-term stability. The housing market imbalance is influenced by limited supply, high prices, and generational trends in homeownership. Starter homes are increasingly unaffordable, forcing many young buyers to rely on financial help from family. The housing market could improve in 5-10 years as demographics and housing supply gradually shift. Multifamily housing and smaller new builds are growing trends, potentially offering more affordable options for buyers. Behavioral economics and AI have the potential to assist individuals in managing spending habits and savings strategies. Credit availability and understanding its consequences play a significant role in financial outcomes for younger generations. Boomers struggle with transitioning from saving to spending in retirement, often leaving unused funds. Generational differences in attitudes toward spending, saving, and credit reflect diverse economic experiences. Future perspectives on bonds may involve alternative strategies as economic conditions evolve. For more information, visit the show notes at Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Jeff Hulett | Follow on Facebook: Follow LinkedIn: Follow on Twitter/X: /episode/index/show/moneytreeinvesting/id/34076211

A Summary of How a Trump Presidency Affects Your Investments 11/20/2024

A Summary of How a Trump Presidency Affects Your Investments The Trump presidency is going to affect your investments and today we discuss how! We talk about focusing on shifting paradigms, market trends, and the need for pragmatic investing. We criticize tech stocks, social media’s evolving role in information dissemination, and reflections on media partisanship. Our overarching goal is for you to focus on investment opportunities created by policy changes rather than being swayed by ideology. Today we discuss... Reflections on self-awareness and understanding societal perceptions after the election. Observations about the market downturn, especially in tech stocks. Elon Musk’s acquisition of Twitter and its cultural implications. The significance of comedy and free speech in maintaining societal balance. Discontent with corporate media as biased propaganda, regardless of political alignment. Concerns about the long-term sustainability of pensions, Medicare, and Social Security in the 2030s. Inflation’s impact on savings and purchasing power as a critical financial concern. Discussion of policy proposals like free college and their feasibility in a paradigm-shifting era. The potential economic disruptions from AI and other transformative technologies. Shifts in investment strategies to align with anticipated policy changes under new leadership. The importance of separating politics from investment decisions to maximize financial outcomes. The strategic approach to capitalizing on corporate tax cuts and their impact on major companies. Critique of ideological investing for potentially leaving significant financial gains on the table. Nuclear energy is gaining bipartisan support due to its reliability as a load power source. Abundant, cheap energy is critical for societal progress, as scarcity leads to economic stagnation and conflicts over resources. Proposals like replacing income tax with tariffs reflect the trade-offs inherent in policy changes. Recognizing the populist movement as a response to frustrations with big institutions and a desire for greater voter control. Misinformation in charts and emphasizing skepticism when analyzing data visuals online. Identifying signs of euphoria in market sentiment as a potential warning for cautious investing. Contrarian investing during periods of extreme optimism or pessimism as a timeless strategy. For more information, visit the show notes at Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Douglas Heagren | Follow on Facebook: Follow LinkedIn: Follow on Twitter/X: /episode/index/show/moneytreeinvesting/id/34029546

Real Estate Opportunities for 2025 11/15/2024

Real Estate Opportunities for 2025 Marco Santarelli returns to share real estate opportunities you should be jumping on in 2025! Despite rising interest rates, Marco remains optimistic about real estate as one of the best opportunities to be a part of. He explains that high demand and low supply in many U.S. markets create opportunities, particularly in non-tier-one markets, and encourages investors to focus on "where" to invest rather than "when" to start. Most people who do start investing in real estate regret that they didn't invest even more! Today we discuss... Marco Santarelli shares his journey as a serial entrepreneur with a primary focus on real estate investing, specifically in turnkey investment properties. Rising interest rates and their impact on real estate affordability. Focusing on location rather than timing the market, as there are always opportunities in specific markets. A lack of supply has created high demand in many U.S. housing markets, which is unlikely to be balanced before 2030. How affordability challenges affect buyers and investors, especially in expensive tier-one markets. Marco argues that even with higher mortgage rates, real estate investments continue to offer wealth protection, growth, and tax benefits. The current economic backdrop, including inflation and the Federal Reserve’s interest rate policy, and its effects on real estate. Real estate investments are viable at any interest rate if the numbers work and the location is right. Housing demand is high due to an underbuilt market, with 2.1 million units needed to meet current demand. Industrial real estate is performing well, while commercial properties struggle with vacancies. Small-scale residential properties (1-4 units) are ideal for most investors due to financing benefits and availability. Effective property management is essential; consider tenants as customers and research property managers’ services, reputation, and fees. Real estate offers long-term benefits through cash flow, equity, and tax advantages, and consistent education is key for successful investing. For more information, visit the show notes at Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Barbara Friedberg | Phil Weiss | Follow on Facebook: Follow LinkedIn: Follow on Twitter/X: /episode/index/show/moneytreeinvesting/id/33938267

Election Results… And the Winners Are… 11/13/2024

Election Results… And the Winners Are… The election results are in and the real winners are the American people who do not have to watch politics ads anymore! Today we dive into the aftermath of the recent elections and what happens next for the markets. We talk about the ineffectiveness of government spending and the evolving view of political parties. There needs to be greater personal accountability and unity in navigating the nation's political landscape. No matter what we will be sure to see the impact of political dynamics on society and markets. The market will definitely respond to the political events of the next four years. Today we discuss... Relief after the recent election, especially from political advertising overload. How a record-breaking $15.9 billion was spent on U.S. political ads this election cycle. Frustrations over high campaign spending and suggests such funds could better support social causes. Critiques of the U.S. political system's reliance on private contributions and its potential to sway policy. Comedians like Jon Stewart for addressing political hypocrisy across the spectrum. The American political system seems to shift over time, with parties taking on opposite stances on issues like war. Bipartisan acceptance of differing opinions and the preservation of First Amendment rights are essential for a healthy society. Freedom of speech includes both expressing opinions and facing possible negative reactions. Extremist views on both political sides have made rational discussion harder. Polarized societies often see suppressed opinions emerge during pivotal events, like elections. Market reactions to election results can indicate future performance trends. Specific sectors post-election, like coal, banks, and crypto, provides insights on economic sentiment. Election outcomes impact short-term market volatility, but fundamentals drive long-term trends. For more information, visit the show notes at Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Douglas Heagren | Follow on Facebook: Follow LinkedIn: Follow on Twitter/X: /episode/index/show/moneytreeinvesting/id/33906372

Becoming a Super Host: Secrets to Creating a Successful AirBNB 11/08/2024

Becoming a Super Host: Secrets to Creating a Successful AirBNB Mark Lumpkin is here to discuss real estate investing through creating a successful AirBNB. He delves into what it means to be a "super host," by enhancing a property's visibility and appeal. If you have a unique properties that can serve as part of the travel experience, you can find yourself a niche in the industry, and tailor your property for maximum appeal and profitability. Many new investors rush in, lured by promises of high yields but lack a strategic approach. Mark shares the secrets of how to maximize your success. Today we discuss... Mark explains his and his wife's travel experiences that led them to prefer short-term rentals over traditional hotels. How, inspired by their experiences, they decided to invest in short-term rentals and became Airbnb superhosts. How short-term rentals have made previously uneconomical properties profitable by offering daily rentals instead of long-term leases. The importance of having unique, high-quality properties to remain competitive and mitigate downturn risks. Focusing on mid-range properties, rather than luxury or low-end ones, often yields the best financial results. How unique, non-duplicatable properties avoid direct competition with identical listings. Market risks such as natural disasters, insurance costs, and operational expenses specific to high-tourism areas. The premium pricing strategy on weekends in vacation destinations for maximum yield. Catering to unique needs, like wheelchair accessibility or family-friendly amenities, can attract a premium. Balancing seasonal properties across markets with varying peak seasons can stabilize cash flow. Managing a short-term rental requires a strong on-ground team for cleaning, maintenance, and guest support. Listing properties on multiple platforms (Airbnb, VRBO, booking.com, etc.) increases exposure and revenue opportunities. Building a brand and direct-booking options, supported by social media, is a growing trend among property owners. For more information, visit the show notes at /episode/index/show/moneytreeinvesting/id/33831012

Election Shenanigans… Here’s What You Can Expect After the Election 11/06/2024

Election Shenanigans… Here’s What You Can Expect After the Election The election just happened and that means there will be some shenanigans after the election! Today we talk divisiveness in political discourse, the inefficiencies in government spending, and the challenges posed by increasing national debt and interest payments. The inefficiency in government spending and decision-making extends across the board so you need to be aware of your own finances and investments. Focus on your pragmatic investment strategies amidst economic uncertainty, especially after the election, and you'll be on a better track. Today we discuss... How politics is largely unhelpful for investing discussions. Today’s society often discourages open, contradictory opinions. Election results are here, and market stability would benefit from a decisive winner. Government spending has increased while private sector growth lags. Government debt interest payments have surpassed national defense spending. The economy faces challenges as more jobs shift to government, education, and healthcare. Older generations dominate U.S. power structures, limiting opportunities for younger leaders. Economic solutions are limited to either growth, inflation, or reduced spending. The government, healthcare, and education sectors often suffer from inefficiency due to regulation. Technological advances in housing and nuclear energy are slowed by regulatory oversight. Crypto has been highly volatile, though fixed-income investments have also been risky in recent years. Significant donations from the crypto sector went to both political parties in the last election cycle. The market’s response to election results is likely stable unless there is a contested outcome, which could trigger volatility. Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Douglas Heagren | Follow on Facebook: Follow LinkedIn: Follow on Twitter/X: For more information, visit the show notes at /episode/index/show/moneytreeinvesting/id/33809682

The US Sovereign Wealth Fund… Origins Revealed 11/01/2024

The US Sovereign Wealth Fund… Origins Revealed Richard Duncan is back to share the concept of a U.S. sovereign wealth fund, an idea to drive national economic growth through large-scale public investment in emerging industries and technologies. Recent bipartisan support from both the Trump and Biden camps highlights growing momentum for this initiative, and Richard thinks it could accelerate technological breakthroughs in fields like AI, quantum computing, and biotech. Such a fund would not only help reduce the national debt but also bolster U.S. competitiveness against China’s rapid advancements in technology and defense. Today we discuss... The concept of a U.S. sovereign wealth fund, a proposal he has supported for years as a means of boosting national economic growth. Concerns that government programs already incentivize private sector growth, like R&D tax credits and preferential funding, but face inefficiencies. How a U.S. sovereign wealth fund would act as a venture capital source for private companies, similar to successful models in Singapore. How under-investment could allow China to become the dominant superpower, citing parallels to Europe's unpreparedness for Hitler’s rise. The effects of inflated debt and the fragility of the U.S. economy, highlighting government intervention as a key reason it hasn’t collapsed. If credit contracts, a recession could turn into a depression, risking significant economic instability. Each time private sector defaults threaten contraction, such as in 2008 and 2020, government intervention prevents economic collapse. Advocates of austerity overlook that spending cuts can cripple consumption, investment, and job creation, leading to economic decline. The speaker argues that large-scale investment, rather than austerity, is essential for growth and national security. America's economic resilience stems partly from government debt; alternatives could risk societal collapse. Future U.S. prosperity and competitiveness, especially against China, depend on substantial investment in science and technology. The risk of economic misallocation, using overemphasis on pharmaceuticals as an example. Balancing private sector decisions and government financing could ensure effective investment in essential industries. The U.S. must innovate in energy, particularly nuclear and fusion, to meet growing demands from sectors like AI. America's past reliance on globalization reduced inflation, but future economic stability may require adapting to changing global conditions. For more information, visit the show notes at Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Barbara Friedberg | Phil Weiss | Follow on Facebook: Follow LinkedIn: Follow on Twitter/X: /episode/index/show/moneytreeinvesting/id/33725267

The Problem with the Election… It’s Not You… It’s Me 10/30/2024

The Problem with the Election… It’s Not You… It’s Me There's a problem with the election and it's not just about you, it's me too. Our conversation today highlights how U.S. political party priorities have evolved with shifts in censorship power dynamics now seen in tech and government interactions. Voter turnout patterns by state reveal high engagement in blue states, sparking a discussion on potential impacts and a reflection on whether blockchain could offer fairer and more secure elections. Today we discuss... Most recent information is likely to be unreliable, especially with the election looming. Historical context regarding political party evolution highlights significant shifts in the Democratic and Republican parties over the years. The potential for implementing blockchain technology in voting is suggested as a way to enhance transparency and prevent voting irregularities. When investing in the market, your biases—whether bullish or bearish—can distort your perception of reality. Confirmation bias leads investors to seek information that supports their beliefs while ignoring opposing viewpoints. Historical examples highlight how both individuals and groups can rationalize harmful choices based on their biases. Recent trends show a belief that investing solely in the S&P 500 or real estate is the only way to achieve financial success, neglecting historical performance data. Many investors, including Warren Buffett, are reevaluating their holdings based on new data, which suggests current market valuations may be overly optimistic. Historical performance metrics show that various asset classes, including gold and emerging markets, may outperform current popular investments. A shareholder proposal suggests Microsoft should consider holding Bitcoin instead of cash, reflecting a shift towards cryptocurrency among corporations. Leveraging Bitcoin or any asset carries significant risks, particularly if market conditions change abruptly. Despite increasing investments in Bitcoin, its price has remained relatively stable, indicating complex market dynamics. For more information, visit the show notes at Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Douglas Heagren | Follow on Facebook: Follow LinkedIn: Follow on Twitter/X: /episode/index/show/moneytreeinvesting/id/33679162

How the Profit First System Will Transform Your Taxes 10/25/2024

Where is Bitcoin going next? 10/23/2024

Where is Bitcoin going next? Where is Bitcoin going next? Today we discuss Bitcoin and how it's currently crashing and what that means for it's future! We also talk about how consumer confidence fluctuates based on political affiliation and reflect on how political leanings shape people's perception of reality. We analyze charts "chart crimes," emphasizing how misleading technical analysis can be. We also touch on America's ever growing debt. Today we discuss... There's only two weeks between Halloween and the election! The University of Michigan Consumer Expectations Index reveals an inverse correlation between political party expectations based on who is in power. How political bias colors people's perception of reality. A shift in political leanings of tech executives is observed, with a historical trend toward Democrat support but a recent swing toward conservatism in 2024. The current state of leadership, with a lack of strong leaders across political lines. The concept of "chart crimes", where misleading technical analysis charts often deceive inexperienced investors. Bitcoin technical analysis is debunked, explaining that chart setups are not guaranteed predictions. The U.S. may face bankruptcy within 5 to 10 years, which could trigger significant inflation and financial hardship. The velocity of money and the trust in currency are key indicators to watch for potential hyperinflation or financial instability. Bitcoin's recent rise is correlated with an increase in M2 money supply, and both Bitcoin and gold are seen as potential hedges against inflation. There's uncertainty about how Bitcoin will perform in future recessions since it hasn't faced a major economic downturn yet. Consumers are struggling with high core inflation, impacting necessary expenses like utilities and food, despite overall inflation rates declining. For more information, visit the show notes at Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Douglas Heagren | Follow on Facebook: Follow LinkedIn: Follow on Twitter/X: /episode/index/show/moneytreeinvesting/id/33578232

Balancing Business and Family: Jenny Groberg’s Journey to Success 10/18/2024

Balancing Business and Family: Jenny Groberg’s Journey to Success Jenny Groberg joins us to share how she has because a master of balancing business and family. Her journey led her to starting a consulting business from home while raising five children and navigating financial challenges due to her husband's medical school and residency. Jenny talks financial literacy, highlighting how she and her husband quickly paid off $250,000 in loans by living below their means. We discuss... Jenny Groberg is a mother of five, married for 21 years, whose husband's medical school and residency led her to start her own business out of necessity. She started consulting from home and built a successful business employing hundreds of women across the US who also work remotely from home. Jenny's company taps into a highly educated female workforce, breaking barriers in finance and challenging traditional male-dominated spaces. She is passionate about empowering women, especially during times of economic hardship, as many women are returning to work due to rising costs and inflation. Jenny highlights the flexibility and adaptability of women who juggle family and professional responsibilities while navigating challenges like maternity and remote work. The accounting field is shrinking, but Jenny sees opportunities in helping businesses improve financial literacy and manage their finances better. She emphasizes the importance of focusing on profitability over growth and ensuring businesses maintain financial discipline for long-term success. Jenny shares her personal story of paying off $250,000 in student loans in two years by maintaining a strict budget and avoiding lifestyle inflation. She believes that staying out of debt and managing finances conservatively can lead to long-term financial freedom and stability. Jenny encourages business owners to regularly monitor their financials, manage payroll efficiently, and make conservative financial decisions to ensure business survival and growth. She warns against relying on adjustable-rate loans and stresses the importance of saving for unexpected financial changes. For more information, visit the show notes at Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Barbara Friedberg | Phil Weiss | Follow on Facebook: Follow LinkedIn: Follow on Twitter/X: /episode/index/show/moneytreeinvesting/id/33506282

Money Tree Investing

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