The New Global Paradigm Shift And How To Invest
Money Tree Investing
Dan Rasmussen returns to talk about how to invest during this global paradigm shift. Rasmussen shares how the post-2008 investment environment has shifted, with international markets now outperforming, volatility spiking, and the dollar weakening. He critiques the AI investment narrative, challenges in AI profitability, the misalignment between AI hype and real-world economic value, and the implications of rising geopolitical and market uncertainty. We discuss... Dan Rasmussen runs the hedge fund Verdad, focusing on microcap value, credit, and market-neutral strategies. His new book,...
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A Second Big Move In The S&P 500 Will Change How You Think About Stock Investing
Money Tree Investing
There's a second big move in the S&P 500 and it's going to change things! Today we reflect on a historic and volatile week in the markets, highlighting dramatic swings that included 40- to 50-year extremes. We also talk investor psychology, client reactions, and the importance of focusing on long-term planning rather than daily market noise. There's also been a mystery investment that has quietly outperformed this year despite a lack of media attention so it's important to pay attention to all the trends, even the ones that aren't getting mainstream attention. We also share on Warren...
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What 96% of People Get Wrong About Social Security Planning
Money Tree Investing
Beau Henderson joins us to dive into the often misunderstood world of Social Security planning. Beau highlights how only 4% of people claim their benefits in a way that maximizes lifetime value. We discuss why Social Security is so confusing: its overly complex rules, lack of personalized advice from the SSA, and the financial planning industry's limited focus on optimization due to low compensation incentives. Beau also breaks down a three-step process to make better Social Security decisions. We discuss... Beau Henderson worked in retirement planning for over 25 years, focusing heavily on...
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A Big Move In The S&P 500 Is Coming
Money Tree Investing
Douglas Heagren | Follow on Facebook: Follow LinkedIn: Follow on Twitter/X: For more information, visit the show notes at
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The Growth of Global Investing with Ladislas Maurice
Money Tree Investing
Ladislas Maurice joins us today to discuss the benefits of global investing. He shares his experience in emerging markets, and the investing benefits of getting a second citizenships. He shared insights on identifying macro opportunities in various countries, such as Uzbekistan's stock market and Egypt's real estate deals. He emphasized diversification to manage risk and shares the benefits of second citizenships, including access, security, and generational opportunities. Today we discuss... Ladislas Maurice shared his background in law, business, and his expat career with Nestlé...
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Is Your Social Security Safe From DOGE?
Money Tree Investing
Is your social security safe from DOGE? Today we talk about the big changes coming to the Social Security Administration and how (or if) they impact you! We talk about social securities origins as a safety net, its current insolvency trajectory by the early-to-mid 2030s, and the political challenges of reform. We critique the past government inaction and explores potential solutions. Don't worry, your social security won’t disappear overnight so make rational decisions rather than reacting to media-driven fear. We discuss... Market volatility and the significance of quarter-end...
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Investment Management in a Volatile Market with Shelby McFaddin
Money Tree Investing
Shelby McFaddin is here to discuss investment management for your portfolio in 2025's volatile stock market. Shelby discusses her time at Motley Fool Asset Management and shares her journey from studying economics and international affairs to working in private and public equity before transitioning to her current role. She shared insights on her investment strategy, highlights the challenges of stock picking in today's market, and emphasizes the importance of quality over chasing trends. She also talks the impact of macroeconomic factors, inflation, and interest rates on investing, and the...
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Extreme Overvaluation In These Stocks May Shock You
Money Tree Investing
There are some overvaluation in these stocks that may shock you! Today we discuss concerns over the stock market's high valuations, with a historical P/E ratio of around 17 now sitting at roughly 35, indicating extreme overvaluation comparable to the tech bubble. There is a risk of a potential 50% market correction and those who have only experienced rising markets, may be unprepared for downturns. We talk about the importance of hedging, reassessing portfolios, and understanding that economic conditions, stock markets, and politics do not always align. We discuss... Current market...
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Trading Mindset Revealed
Money Tree Investing
Lia Holmgren, a former psychotherapist turned full-time stocks trader and trading coach, joins the podcast to discuss the trading mindset. As a stock trading coach she shares how her background helps traders manage discipline, risk, and emotional control. Lia details her approach to options trading, preferring long-term leaps on high-quality stocks and selling covered calls for additional income, while stressing the importance of position sizing and risk management. Learn how you can trade more successfully and without emotion as today we discuss... Lia Holmgren shares her background,...
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Shocking Revelation…Housing Bubble 2.0
Money Tree Investing
We are back in the middle of housing bubble 2.0. Today we cover recent market corrections, investor psychology, and the importance of perspective when managing investments. We talk recent market downturns and real estate. Including the concerns over rising FHA mortgage defaults, government intervention artificially propping up housing prices, and the potential for a significant correction if foreclosure backlogs are released into the market. We discuss... The U.S. stock market recently declined about 10%, marking an official correction and triggering investor anxiety. Many investors...
info_outlineGet ready to invest because today we have your 2025 stock market predictions! Today we talk about how market predictions are typically futile due to the unpredictable nature of financial markets. We explore the trends of 2024, including the standout performers like Nvidia and Bitcoin, but don't assume that means they'll be the winners this year. We also talk active vs. passive management and investing strategies while addressing systemic issues in modern financial markets. Today we discuss...
- Annual tradition of financial predictions, and their inherent uncertainty.
- Recap of 2024's top-performing stocks and commodities, as well as the underperformers.
- Discussion on the pitfalls of market predictions and human tendencies to forecast the future.
- Critique of over-reliance on index investing and its long-term implications for market efficiency and corporate accountability.
- Free markets are beneficial but pose dangers to those unprepared, with current markets heavily influenced by Federal Reserve interventions.
- The stock market is bolstered by government actions and large institutional players, creating artificial market stability.
- Warren Buffett’s underperformance in recent decades is attributed to deviating from his investment principles and managing too much capital.
- Global markets show mixed trends: Japan is recovering after a long bear market, while European and value stocks remain stagnant.
- Crypto adoption is growing, supported by corporate treasury strategies, with Bitcoin gaining popularity despite speculative concerns.
- Meme coins and other speculative assets occasionally deliver massive returns, but their long-term viability remains uncertain.
- Cryptocurrency markets showed extreme volatility, with some coins seeing significant gains since the election, while others exhibit questionable valuations.
- Oil prices have rebounded after a lackluster start to the year, with late-year momentum contributing to recent gains.
- The S&P 500 has grown modestly by 3% since the election, while gold prices have declined by 3.9%.
- Risks to global markets in 2025 include tariffs, Nvidia earnings volatility, a reaccelerating U.S. economy, and persistent inflation concerns.
- Predictions for U.S. recession in 2025 are mixed, with some indicators suggesting low probability despite ongoing uncertainties.
- The 2025 market landscape will likely feature conflicting bullish and bearish indicators, complicating clear directional forecasts.
- A recurring theme emerged: there are no inherently good or bad stocks, only good or bad prices depending on market conditions.
- Disclaimers emphasized that past performance of assets should not be interpreted as predictions for future results.
For more information, visit the show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/stock-market-predictions-675
Today's Panelists:
Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth
Douglas Heagren | ProCollege Planners
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