Net Assessment
In this show, the Net Assessment crew ponders the Global War on Terror (GWOT). Twenty-five years after 9/11 and five years after the disastrous withdrawal from Afghanistan. what lessons have we learned about warfare? Does our experience in Afghanistan, and now in Iran, demonstrate that the American military has an outsized fixation on lethality? To better prepare for future conflicts, how should strategists think about how adversary human networks behave? Attas for former Army Secretary Dan Driscoll and Deputy Secretary of State Christopher Landau, and grievances for Argentina’s Javier Milei...
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The team sits down to talk about the new OSTP report, Science: A New Golden Age. What role should the government have in the scientific enterprise? What should national scientific goals be? It is time to integrate new funding models into research and development, or does that unacceptably increase the risk for politicization of science? Does the report’s emphasis on breakthroughs that benefit the public more quickly ignore the importance of foundational research? Coming up on the 25th anniversary of 9/11, Chris gives an atta to Joe Biden for making the hard decision to withdraw...
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Chris, Melanie, and Zack debate Michael Fuchs’s recent article arguing for a U.S. withdrawal from the Middle East. They also discuss the impact of the Iran War and shifting American attitudes towards Israel as well as the Saudi-U.S. nuclear deal and the Saudi-Turkish-Pakistani collective defense agreement. Chris commends the Congressional Budget Office’s battleship assessment, and Melanie gives credit to CSIS’s team for its work on munitions, while Zack laments the Congress giving the executive branch more leeway on tariffs. *The Net Assessment Podcast is hosted by the Stimson Center and...
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Chris, Melanie, and Zack discuss public attitudes toward the United States and China, and the Trump administration’s response -- which mostly seems to deny that they matter. Why does much of the world view the United States less favorably, and China more favorably, than it did just a few years ago? Is this just a temporary decline that can be overcome with a new administration or nicer advisors? Does it even matter to American interests if we aren’t loved? Grievances to the Pentagon for its secrecy and dissembling around casualties in the Iran War, and for thinking that its problems...
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Chris, Zack, and Melanie have a look at the 2026 Annual Threat Assessment. Does the document get the threats, and their prioritiztion, right? How does Trump administration policy align with what the intelligence community determines to be the most critical threats facing the US in the next year? Has the two-decades-old ODNI experiment has run its course? Chris commends Global Affairs Canada and the Stimson Center for jointly honoring the late Stimson Center president, Brian Finlay, with an award in his name, the Brian Finlay Innovation in Threat Reduction Award. Zack has some kind words for...
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With Chris galavanting across Europe, Stimson’s Emma Ashford joins Melanie and Zack to debate whether the United States is undermining deterrence in Europe. What does a decreased U.S. conventional commitment mean for the risk of nuclear escalation? And might Vladimir Putin see this as an opportunity to test the alliance by attacking a NATO member, either now or in the future? Emma also commends Scotland's Tartan Army while Melanie criticizes the firing of General Christopher Donahue and Zack laments the dismissal of career officials by the acting Director of National Intelligence. ...
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In this show, Chris, Melanie, and Zack consider the benefits and costs for U.S. allies and partners who host U.S. bases on their territory. As traditional allies have limited air space and basing access to the United States during the Iran war, has a major fault line in American strategy been publicly exposed? And if allies do limit wartime access in the future, will it stop the United States from fighting both wise and unwise wars? Grievances for Keir Starmer’s government in the UK, especially its approach to national security and energy; for Tulsi Gabbards’ decision to release...
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Chris, Zack, and Melanie have a chat about how Mexico is handling the drug cartels, which continue to perpetrate terrible violence and facilitate massive corruption in the country. Can President Claudia Sheinbaum enact an anti-cartel strategy that will reduce the violence? Are institutions in government and the private sector too corrupt for any strategy to succeed? Will Trump, whose patience with Sheinbaum is limited, order military strikes on cartel targets in Mexico? And does she have any leverage to prevent this? Chris recognizes the life and legacy of Brian Finlay, Stimson’s...
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Chris, Melanie, and Zack debate Wess Mitchell’s proposed U.S. strategy of consolidation. They discuss whether this strategy would finally realign America’s objectives with its resources. They also question the Trump administration’s ability or willingness to execute such an approach. Chris commends Tom Stevenson’s essay on the war in Afghanistan, Melanie questions the lack of American ambassadors worldwide, and Zack expresses frustration with the meager results of the Trump-Xi meeting. Show Links: Robbie Gramer, , Wall Street Journal, May 14, 2026. Chao Deng, , Wall Street Journal,...
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Do we live in a world governed only by force, one in which the United States’ military and economic power alone will advance U.S. interests? Or are the Trump administration’s efforts to intimidate even U.S. allies and partners bound to generate resistance? And what will be the consequences for Americans if Trump’s predatory behavior fails? Grievances for Charles Lieber, a former Harvard scientist now building China’s i-BRAIN lab, for Beijing’s efforts to block U.S. economic sanctions, and to the U.S. State Department for refusing to recognize foreign service officers killed in the...
info_outlineIn this special bonus episode, the Net Assessment crew – Chris, Melanie, and Zack - looks back on the highs (and lows) of 2025, and makes a few predictions for 2026. Thanks all around to our listeners, the Stimson Center, and University FM for their fantastic production.
Show Links:
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Hadeel al-Salchi, “Search for Body of Last Hostage Held by Hamas in Gaza is Delayed Due to Bad Weather,” NPR, December 16, 2025.
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“Armitage’s Story,” Last Days in Vietnam, PBS.
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Justin Bronk, “America’s Drone Delusion,” Foreign Affairs, December 15, 2025.
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Christopher Clary, “Four Days in May: The India-Pakistan Crisis of 2025,” Stimson Center May 28, 2025.
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Zack Cooper, “Trump’s Strategic Choice: Prioritization or Retrenchment,” The American Enterprise, March 5, 2025.
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The Daily, "Were the Covid Lockdowns Worth It?", March 20, 2025.
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Aude Darnal and Christopher Preble, “Conventional Wisdom: The War on Terror Is Over,” in “Testing Assumptions About US Foreign Policy in 2025,” Stimson Center, February 14, 2025.
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Jeffrey Friedman, “The World Is More Uncertain Than You Think: Assessing and Combating Overconfidence Among 2,000 National Security Officials,” Texas National Security Review (Vol 8, Iss 4, Fall 2025, 34-48), https://doi.org/10.1353/tns.00011.
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Jonathan Guyer, “Donald Trump’s Cowboy Diplomacy,” The New York Times, December 15, 2025.
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“In Pursuit of Peace: The Life and Legacy of Barry Blechman,” Stimson Center, September 29, 2025.
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Jennifer Lind and Daryl G. Press, “Strategies of Prioritization: American Foreign Policy After Primacy,” Foreign Affairs, July/August 2025.
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Aaron Maclean, “A Warning to the Young: Just Say No to AI,” Engelsberg Ideas, July 9, 2025.
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Michael Nienaber, “Germany Powers Ahead With Record Push for Military Buildup,” Bloomberg, December 17, 2025.
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Persuasion, "Frances Lee and Stephen Macedo on Why Institutions Failed During Covid," May 17, 2025.
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Christopher Preble, X, 1:55 am, October 18,2025.
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“Prediction Is Hard, Especially about Confidence Levels,” Net Assessment, October 2, 2025.
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Joanna Stern, “We Let AI Run Our Office Vending Machine. It Lost Hundreds of Dollars,” Wall Street Journal, December 18, 2025.
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“Sweden Plans Largest Military Buildup Since the Cold War Amid Russia Threat and Uncertain US-EU Ties,” AP, March 26, 2025.
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“What’s the Plan for AI?”, Net Assessment, August 7, 2025.
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Nancy A. Youssef, “So This Is What ‘America First’ Looks Like,” The Atlantic, December 11, 2025.