The Guru Gap: How America’s Financial Gurus Are Leading You Astray and How to Get Back on Track
Release Date: 01/29/2025
Vanguard--4 to 5% Stock Market Growth Over Next 10 Years (Should You Change Your Retirement Strategy?)
The Power Of Zero Show
In this episode of the Power of Zero Show, David McKnight looks at headlines, such as those from Vanguard, BlackRock or Morningstar, that have predicted a dismal forecast for stock market returns over the next decade. Since such articles predict 4-5% annual growth for the next decade, many investors are pondering whether they should take some chips off the table. Back in 2015, those same institutions and companies stressed that valuations were too high and that, since the markets had a great run, it couldn’t possibly continue anymore. Vanguard forecasted 4-6% returns, BlackRock predicted...
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Should You Take Social Security Early Given the Scary Trust Fund Report?
The Power Of Zero Show
The 2025 Social Security Trustees Report is out and the news is bleak. This episode of the Power of Zero Show looks at the potential repercussions if nothing changes by 2033. If things don't improve, Social Security will face a cash flow deficit that triggers a 23% across-the-board benefit cut - and that's one year earlier than predicted. But that's not all… in fact, it gets far worse, says host David McKnight. The system is already $72.8 trillion in the red, an unfunded liability that's twice the size of the national debt and $10 trillion worse than 2024. This is by no means a temporary...
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The Vindication of Indexed Universal Life and Fixed Indexed Annuities: What the Ernst & Young Study Finally Proves
The Power Of Zero Show
Ernst & Young recently came out with a new updated study, which is likely to scandalize mainstream financial experts like they did with their 2021 study. Back then, they asked the question, “Is the stock market-only retirement approach really the strategy that gives you the highest levels of income and the best outcomes over a 30-year retirement?” In their new study, on the other hand, they substituted Indexed Universal Life for Whole Life, and Fixed Index Annuities for Deferred Income Annuities – a move that led to unexpected and spectacular results. Host David McKnight...
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Can Republicans Actually Make the Trump Tax Cuts Permanent?
The Power Of Zero Show
President Trump’s proposed Big Beautiful Bill (BBB), which has been getting everyone’s attention of late, is the topic of this episode of The Power of Zero Show. Host David McKnight points out that the “crown jewel” of the BBB is the extension of the 2017 Trump tax cuts. The 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCGA) brought about cuts to individual income taxes, corporate taxes, and a dramatic expansion of the estate tax exemption. While corporate tax cuts were made permanent – going from 35% to 21% – the tax cuts for individuals and estates had an expiration date. If the status quo...
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Doug Andrew: Consider Rolling Your IRA into an IUL (Good idea?)
The Power Of Zero Show
David McKnight addresses Doug Andrew’s recommendation of turning your IRA into an IUL. David agrees with some of Andrew’s views, including his objection to rolling a 401(k) into an IRA, and then leaving it there until you die. Given the exploding national debt, most experts predict that taxes 10 years from now will have to rise dramatically to keep the U.S. solvent… Doug Andrew lists Indexed Universal Life as his “favorite financial vehicle because of liquidity, safety, predictable rates of return, and tax-free growth”. David is skeptical of advice that denigrates every tax-free...
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Financial Collapse in 3 Years?
The Power Of Zero Show
This episode of The Power of Zero Show revolves around a recent Ray Dalio video in which he issued warnings about the U.S. debt crisis. In the clip, Dalio appears to be giving America three years to get their act together and to right the fiscal ship of state. Dalio mentions the draft of his new book that goes through the mechanics of the debt – and highlights the supply-demand problem he believes will occur if the deficit doesn’t go from the current 7.2% of GDP to about 3% of GDP. Dalio touches upon what people should do when there isn’t an adequate supply-demand balance. He believes...
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Will Safe Harbor Rules Protect You If You Do a 4th Quarter Roth Conversion?
The Power Of Zero Show
David McKnight looks at why many people wait until the fourth quarter to do a Roth conversion, the potential penalties, and what can be done to avoid having to pay underpayment penalties to the IRS. David begins the episode by highlighting the fact that a lot of investors wait until Q4 before they do a Roth conversion – and they prefer to pay taxes on it in cash instead of simply having the taxes withheld by the IRS. From a mathematical standpoint, it’s the correct thing to do because it allows you to get 100% of the converted dollars into your tax-free account. However, if you didn’t...
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How to Avoid the Roth Over-Conversion Trap
The Power Of Zero Show
In today’s episode, David McKnight focuses on whether you should do a Roth conversion, how much you should convert per year, and whether it’s possible to over-convert to Roth. David explains that an effective tax rate is the actual percentage of your income that you pay in taxes after accounting for deductions, exemptions, and credits. For David, the only reason you should do a Roth conversion is if you believe that your effective tax rate in retirement will be higher than your marginal tax rate today. David touches upon a couple of reasons why your effective tax rate in retirement could...
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The Problem with Target Date Funds
The Power Of Zero Show
David McKnight looks at Target Date Funds (TDFs) and why their set-it-and-forget-it approach to investing is NOT something you should rely on. David kicks things off by explaining how TDFs work, including why they tend to be a popular option for novice investors. While it sounds like an excellent approach, David points out two major flaws. “A lot of the problems with TDFs come down to sustainable withdrawal rates in retirement,” says David. The 4% Rule consists of you being able to withdraw 4% of your day one balance in retirement, adjusted every year thereafter for inflation....
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I've Maxed Out My 401(k), Now What?
The Power Of Zero Show
In this episode of the Power of Zero Show, host David McKnight discusses the scenario in which you have maxed out your 401(k) and are wondering where you should invest the rest of your money. The episode kicks off with David addressing the type of 401(k)s you should be investing in first. There are two types of 401(k)s: the traditional pre-tax 401(k) and the Roth 401(k). Should you go for a traditional 401(k) or a Roth 401(k)? It all depends on whether you think your tax bracket is likely to be lower or higher in retirement… With the national debt set to hit $62 trillion by the year 2035,...
info_outlineToday’s episode is a podcast guest interview David McKnight did for Josh Jalinski’s The Financial Quarterback Podcast.
David gives Josh’s audience a quick bio that spans from his early days in the financial services space in 1997 all the way to his latest book The Guru Gap.
The premise of The Guru Gap is the difference between the 1990s when people had very few options to vet out financial planning advice and today, where they have plenty of ways to vet out.
Nowadays, whenever David makes a financial recommendation, 90% of his clients take to the internet to vet that recommendation.
In The Guru Gap, David focuses on financial gurus Dave Ramsey, Suze Orman, Ken Fisher, Clark Howard, and Ramit Sethi – and their advice.
Since financial gurus aim at taking important and complex financial principles and distilling them down into 10-second sound bites, they tend to give short shrift to a lot of details David’s clients would need to protect and grow their retirement savings.
The #1 goal most Americans have is to have their money last as long as they do.
Financial gurus have had an adversarial stance toward financial planners like David and Josh Jalinski.
Some of David’s clients who seem to put more stock into what these gurus have to say tend to forget that their advice typically isn’t undergirded by math and actuarial science…
Josh Jalinski shares a couple of stories that really tick him off when it comes to financial gurus and the consequences of their advice.
David believes that America is better off with people like Dave Ramseys and the like in it than without them.
“If you’re making $50,000 and spending $60,000 Dave Ramsey is precisely the person you should be talking to,” says David McKnight.
David sees people like Dave Ramsey be “good for bad investors, and bad for good investors”.
Wade Pfau thinks that following Ramsey’s advice of taking 8% withdrawal rates on your assets in retirement and putting 100% of your allocation in stocks, you’ll run out of money in advance of life expectancy 63% of the time.
David touches upon the so-called Dave Ramsey circle of poverty: he gets you out of debt on the road to financial success, and then he promptly bankrupts you by taking an 8% withdrawal rate.
Josh shares his thoughts on Dave Ramsey and explains that some people never save.
Citing former Comptroller General David Walker and Penn Wharton David talks about what could be waiting for the U.S. in the near future.
David gives out a couple of reasons why you should think about doing a Roth conversion.
David and Josh talk about saving future taxes when someone passes away.
A key question to ask yourself: Why not pay the tax today at 22% or 24%, so that your kids can inherit that money tax-free regardless of when they liquidate it?
David reveals that, because of The Guru Gap, he has received a cease and desist from one of the financial gurus mentioned in the book.
Josh and David dissect “the Ken Fisher approach” – including its key flaws and shortcomings.
In Josh’s opinion, one of the negative traits of financial gurus is their lack of availability for debate.
For David, the least expensive way to purge the longevity risk from your portfolio is an annuity.
Josh and David bring up financial advisors dispensing advice on TikTok into the conversation.
The overwhelming amount of tips shared by gurus leads to people making bad decisions or not making a decision at all.
Of the five financial gurus mentioned in The Guru Gap, Suze Orman (the only CFP of that group) is the one David McKnight likes the most, also because her advice is most in line with the mainstream financial planning consensus.
Ramit Sethi is the financial guru that seems to have the most adversarial approach toward financial planners.
David used to be a fan of Clark Howard who now has a strong opinion about cash-value life insurance and fixed-income annuities.
David lists steps people should be taking with their money from a tax and retirement perspective.
According to David, if ever there were a time in the history of our country to be undertaking a Roth conversion, it’s over the course of the next nine years.
Josh and David discuss a balanced financial plan that includes annuities to counter longevity risks, insurance to protect one’s family, money as a volatility buffer, equities to beat inflation, some Bitcoin, a little gold, and cash for emergencies.
Mentioned in this episode:
David’s national bestselling book: The Guru Gap: How America’s Financial Gurus Are Leading You Astray, and How to Get Back on Track
PowerOfZero.com (free video series)
@mcknightandco on Twitter
@davidcmcknight on Instagram
David McKnight on YouTube
Get David's Tax-free Tool Kit at taxfreetoolkit.com
Josh Jalinski, The Financial Quarterback
How to Get Rich (Ramit’s Netflix special)
I Will Teach You to Be Rich: No Guilt. No Excuses. Just a 6-Week Program That Works by Ramit Sethi
How to Spot a False Prophet in the World of Finance (episode of The Financial Quarterback)
DOGE – Department of Government Efficiency
American Equity Investment Life Insurance (AEL)
Ernst & Young’s study on life insurance and annuities