Predicting the Market with the Wisdom of Crowds | Vuk Vuković | 630
Release Date: 03/06/2025
Leveraging Thought Leadership
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What’s the real reason you want to write a book? If your answer doesn’t connect directly to your business goals, you may be missing the mark. In this episode of Leveraging Thought Leadership, Peter sits down with , a book strategist who helps authors write the right book—the one that aligns with their business, audience, and long-term strategy. Cathy shares why writing a book should never be step one. Instead, authors must start with a solid strategy: What do you want the book to do for your business? Who exactly are you writing it for? How will you leverage it to create opportunity,...
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Does thought leadership belong only to bold personalities and charismatic speakers? doesn't think so. In her book, ", Christina explores how deep thinkers, perfectionists, and even those uneasy about taking center stage can still powerfully shape ideas and conversations. In this conversation, Christina explains that thought leadership isn't about how loudly you speak—it's about clarity, simplicity, and authenticity. She argues that true impact comes from quiet, deliberate thinkers whose insights might otherwise go unnoticed. Christina reveals why "better" does not mean "louder,"...
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What if the secret to extraordinary sales success wasn't pressure—but purpose? believes the best salespeople aren't chasing quotas. They're chasing impact. Lisa is a bestselling author of "", keynote speaker, and creator of the Noble Purpose business philosophy. Her work has reached over 2 million people on LinkedIn Learning and been featured in . In this episode of Leveraging Thought Leadership, we dive deep into the heart of what drives real, sustainable sales success—and how organizations can embrace the purpose to outperform the market by 350%. We talk about the surprising results...
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Can an introvert become an influential thought leader? Today, Bill Sherman speaks with , , and host of . Sean didn't start out comfortable on stage. In fact, his first speaking experience—presenting technical details to executives—was uncomfortable enough to make many quit. Instead, it sparked his determination to transform discomfort into impactful communication. Sean shares his journey from tech executive to thought leadership advocate, highlighting how he incrementally built confidence through intentional practice and feedback. He emphasizes the power of storytelling to make complex...
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Is college really the only path to career success? In this compelling episode of Leveraging Thought Leadership, host Bill Sherman speaks with , author of "". Lawrese passionately challenges outdated ideas about success, advocating alternative pathways like apprenticeships, boot camps, and vocational training. Originally, Lawrese targeted her message to parents, aiming to reshape perceptions about college as the only route to financial stability. However, she discovered parents often held strong, traditional beliefs about higher education. Shifting her focus directly to students opened...
info_outlineCan social media predict the stock market?
Vuk Vukovic, CIO and co-founder of Oraclum Capital, believes it can. His hedge fund leverages the wisdom of the crowd and a proprietary network analysis of social media bubbles to forecast weekly equity market movements. With a PhD in political economics and a track record of accurately predicting elections—including Brexit and Trump—he's now applying his methodology to finance.
Vuk started by testing his theory transparently, using his own money and publishing every move in a newsletter. The results? Turning $1,000 into $54,000 in just two years. His audience didn't just watch—they invested. Half of his initial hedge fund backers came from readers who followed his journey.
The secret isn't just crowd wisdom. It’s about identifying and
weighting opinions correctly. Some people—especially those stuck in echo chambers—make terrible predictors. Vuk’s method filters out the noise, finding the right voices to forecast market trends with over 60% accuracy.
Beyond trading, he’s expanding his thought leadership through
speaking, writing, and his new book, Elite Networks: The Political
Economy of Inequality. By connecting network theory to both financial markets and political influence, he’s building a broader platform for his ideas.
Listen in as we explore the intersection of thought leadership,
data-driven forecasting, and the power of social media.
Three Key Takeaways:
• The Wisdom of Crowds Works—If You Filter the Right Voices
Crowd predictions are powerful, but only when analyzed correctly.
Vuk’s methodology accounts for social media bubbles and bias,
identifying the most reliable predictors rather than just following
the loudest opinions.
• Transparency Builds Trust—and Attracts Investors
By publicly testing his trading model with his own money, Vuk proved its effectiveness. His thought leadership strategy—sharing real results in a newsletter—turned followers into hedge fund backers.
• Network Theory Applies Beyond Finance
Vuk’s research on elite influence and inequality connects directly to his market prediction model. Whether in politics or finance,
understanding how people interact within networks provides a
competitive edge.