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GameStop Short Squeeze by the Reddit Wall Street Bets Traders Explained

Release Date: 01/31/2021

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Derek Moore and Jay Pestrichelli talk through the latest market action including the forward PE ratio looking frothy, yields continue rising, probability of rate cuts dropping, and when and if the US Dollar strength will be a problem. Plus, talking about Barron’s article comparing the market cap of MicroStrategy vs the value of their Bitcoin holdings. S&P 500 Index earnings yield vs the 10-year Treasury yield. Then, they discuss why people are saying we are going to have a coming second surge for inflation. Later, they talk about volatility on Nvidia a week out from earnings and their...

S&P 500 6000 | Bitcoin Strategic Reserve? | Why Bond Yields May Go Higher | Fed Rate Cuts Near All-Time Highs Bullish?

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Derek Moore and Jay Pestrichelli decide who got the S&P 500 Index 6000 prediction right. Then they talk about Bitcoin running to new highs and some theories about a Bitcoin strategic reserve now that Trump is the President Elect. Later, they review some data pointing to bond yields remaining high (or going higher). Then discussing how investment banks S&P targets rise to follow the markets. All that plus a listener email. Small Cap fund flows into IWM TLT ETF bond flows Bitcoin makes new highs and ETF fund flows surge Hussman 12-year forward estimate nonfinancial market cap...

Unemployment Bad News? | Markets After Elections | Earnings Beats | Trump vs. Harris Election Analysis

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Derek Moore and Jay Pestrichelli go through the recent unemployment numbers to see whether it was as bad as reported. Plus, did the recent hurricane throw off the surveys? Then they look at next week’s prediction for interest rates for the Fed Meeting. Derek and Jay pull up the 30-year mortgage rate vs the 10-year treasury and talk about what’s happened since the first Fed cut. Later they look at housing starts vs completions and try to make sense of whether it's bullish or bearish, the market concentration of the top 10 stocks, seasonality in the S&P 500 index, and looking at earnings...

Goldman Makes News With 3% S&P Target | Markets Too Concentrated? | What If Mortgage Rates Don’t Fall? | Gold Returns Examined

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Derek Moore and Jay Pestrichelli talk about everyone talking about Goldman’s 3% annual return target for next 10 years. What’s behind their analysis includes whether the S&P 500 Index has too much concentration. Then they discuss what is responsible in retrospect for markets going up or down including profit margins, sales, buybacks, dividends, and EPS. Later, they talk about gold and its huge jump in 2024. Finally, how underwhelming the small caps have been relative to past bull markets, S&P 500 Index constituent turnover, and Apple’s options volatility pre-earnings. ...

Small Caps Get Their Day | Buffett’s Apple Blunder? | Bull Market Length | Nvidia Cisco Comparison | Netflix Options Volatility

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Derek Moore and Jay Pestrichelli are discussing what segments of the market are now working on in October plus whether new auto loan delinquencies are something to worry about. Then, reacting to Barron’s headline saying Warren Buffett selling Apple shares may have resulted in leaving $25 billion on the table. Later, they get into whether the comparisons of Nvidia today to Cisco in the late nineties is a fare comparison and if Nvidia is as overvalued as Cisco was in retrospect. Finally, they delve into the options action on Netflix and earnings, S&P 500 Index changes, and whether this...

Where Markets Go After All-Time Highs by VIX Level | Crazy Earnings Estimates | CPI is Rarely 2% | Latest Interest Rate Probabilities

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Derek Moore and Jay Pestrichelli are back again to discuss whether the level of the VIX Index at all-time market highs is a predictor of future market moves. Then, with earnings season kicking off in earnest, reviewing the analyst lofty estimates including some very surprising numbers for Russell 2000 Index companies. Later, Derek goes through some data that basically says the CPI YoY % change isn’t around 2% too often despite the Feds “mandate” of 2% inflation target. Finally, they discuss NFLX earnings and what the options market is saying plus a few other companies including United...

VIX Too High at All-Time Market Highs? | Employment Surprises | Interest Rate Cut Expectations Drop| No More Port Strike | Technical Analysis on Markets

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Derek Moore and Jay Pestrichelli ask whether the VIX is too high given markets are at all-time highs and compare today to some previous periods. Then, they delve into the employment report which surprised in a positive way. Was good news good news for once? What this means for probabilities of future rate cuts by the Fed, the port strike that wrapped up, and a look at some individual tickers and markets from a technical analysis standpoint. Resistance, support, wedges and more on this week’s episode. Why is the VIX so high with the market at all-time highs VIX historically at market...

S&P 500 Going to 7000? | NAV Erosion Myth | Fed HAS Cut Rates at All-Time Highs| China & Emerging Markets Surge | Answering Audience Questions

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Derek Moore and Jay Pestrichelli this week answer some audience questions plus comparing 1995 first Fed rate cut to today’s market and asking if the next year can be a repeat of the 1995-96 period. They also dispel the myth that the Fed has never cut rates when markets are at all-time highs. Later, they look at the China and Emerging markets surge after the Chinese government does a bunch of things to juice markets. In the questions Derek and Jay dispel some myths between NAV erosion and NAV decline. All this and more this week on the Broke Pie Chart Podcast. Similarities between 1995...

Fed Goes Big | Market Performance After Rate Cuts | Election Volatility in VIX Futures Is a Crowded Trade | Year End S&P 500 Predictions

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Derek Moore and Jay Pestrichelli are back to do a post Fed 50 basis point cut analysis. What typically happens a year later in markets after the first interest rate cut? Maybe there isn’t election volatility priced into the VIX and it’s all to do with interest rates. Plus, looking back at the S&P 500 year end 2024 predictions top investment banks made in December of 2023. Hint, it didn’t go the way they expected. How many new all-time highs have we had this year and how does that compare with past years? More all-time highs All-time highs by month Will the market go to 6000?...

Fed Decision Primer | CPI Disappoints? | Market Breakout or Breakdown? | Market Pricing in Too Many Cuts?

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Derek Moore covers what you need to know going into the fed meeting. Plus, reviewing whether the Fed has ever cut rates with a forward price to earnings ratios this high? Then looking at potential technical analysis outcomes on the S&P 500 Index include a cup with handle, triple top, and more. Historical Forward PE ratios at Fed cuts VIX Index doesn’t go berserk during Wednesday’s CPI selloff and recovery Is the market pricing in too many future fed cuts Comparing CPI Supercore, CPI Core, and CPI from a month over month annualized basis Does CPI tell us anything about future Fed...

More Episodes

The Wall Street Bets community executed a short squeeze through Reddit on stocks like GameStop and AMC Theatres this week. But what is a short squeeze? How did they and others buying stocks and options cause the stock to go up at least in the short term? Is short selling bad? Why potentially some brokers had to halt trading in certain names? A look back to the late nineties when internet chat rooms were pushing stocks. Examples of the little investor turning thousands into millions, and vice versa. How short sellers can root out fraud in companies with examples. Jay Pestrichelli and Derek Moore get into this and more in this very timely and fascinating episode.

What is a short squeeze?

What is the GameStop short squeeze?

How did Reddit group Wall Street Bets execute a short squeeze?

How some people have made a lot of money

How other people may lose a lot of money?

What is short interest ratio?

What is short interest as percent of float?

What is a delta or gamma squeeze in options on stocks?

Large in the money option open interest in GameStop at expiration

How short selling adds liquidity.

What are short days to cover metric?

Short sellers uncovering fraud in Amazon Prime documentary the China Hustle.

Short sellers with Enron, Nikola, Wirecard

Trading halts and liquidity requirements on brokerages

Congressional hearings coming on Robin Hood and Wall Street Bets GameStop activity

Examples of pump and dump in 2000 by Michael Lewis in New York Times

Short selling was found useful even in 1918.

How short selling in itself does not bankrupt companies.

How short selling that drives price lower can impact ability for secondary equity offering.

Mentioned in this Episode:

Explaining Delta and Gamma Options Squeeze Robinhood vs Softbank Whale https://brokenpiechart.libsyn.com/robinhood-option-traders-vs-the-softbank-whale

Derek Moore’s Book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/2YoxRaF

Documentary “The China Hustle” on Amazon Prime Video https://amzn.to/39uBJgm

Michael Lewis article on 16-year-old penny stock trader 2001 https://www.nytimes.com/2001/02/25/magazine/jonathan-lebed-s-extracurricular-activities.html

ZEGA Financial www.zegafinancial.com

Jay Pestrichelli’s Buy and Hedge Book on Amazon https://amzn.to/2YoJDSg

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