EP 157 | Part 4 of 7: Localised Conditional Simulation
Fresh Thinking by Snowden Optiro
Release Date: 05/01/2026
EP 157 | Part 4 of 7: Localised Conditional Simulation
Fresh Thinking by Snowden Optiro
In this episode of Fresh Thinking by Snowden Optiro, Ian Glacken and Susan Havlin explore localised conditional simulation (LCS) and its role in modern resource estimation workflows. Building on earlier discussions around estimation methods, recoverable resources, and conditional simulation, this episode brings everything together to explain how LCS converts multiple simulation realisations into a single, practical block model—while preserving realistic grade variability. Key topics include: What localized conditional simulation is and why it matters How localization transforms...
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EP 156 | Part 3 of 7: Conditional Simulation
Fresh Thinking by Snowden Optiro
In this episode of Fresh Thinking by , Susan Havlin and Ian Glacken explore the fundamentals of conditional simulation and its role in modelling grade variability and uncertainty in mineral resource estimation. They discuss how simulation differs from traditional methods like kriging and uniform conditioning, why capturing uncertainty is critical for modern mining decisions, and how multiple realizations can provide valuable insight into upside and downside risk. The conversation also touches on practical challenges, including reporting to the market and integrating uncertainty into mine...
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EP 155 | Part 2 of 7: Recoverable Resource Methods
Fresh Thinking by Snowden Optiro
In this episode of Fresh Thinking by, we explore recoverable resource methods and how they help bridge the gap between resource models and what is actually mined. We discuss key approaches used across the industry, including Uniform Conditioning (UC) and Multiple Indicator Kriging (MIK), outlining how they address grade smoothing and improve predictions at the mining scale. We also cover the strengths and limitations of these methods, particularly their reliance on variograms and their inability to capture uncertainty. This episode sets the stage for the next discussion on conditional...
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EP 154 | Part 1 of 7: Foundations of Modern Resource Estimation
Fresh Thinking by Snowden Optiro
Episode 154 of Fresh Thinking by Snowden Optiro kicks off a 7-part series on modern resource estimation. In this episode, we cover the fundamentals of ordinary kriging, its strengths and limitations, and introduce key concepts like grade smoothing, SMU, and recoverable resources. Featuring Ian Glacken and Susan Havlin.
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EP 153: The Genesis of Australia’s Nickel Industry
Fresh Thinking by Snowden Optiro
Discover the fascinating origins of Australia’s nickel industry in this episode of Fresh Thinking by . Principal Consultant, Jan Graham, sits down with Executive Consultant, Ian Glacken, to explore the pivotal moment that sparked it all—the discovery of nickel at Kambalda in 1966. From early prospecting and geological insight to rapid development and industry-wide impact, this story highlights the role of luck, lateral thinking, and persistence in shaping one of Australia’s most significant mining sectors. Learn how a single drill hole, KD1, transformed Western Mining Corporation and led...
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Ep 152: If You Sign It, You Own It: The Reality of Reserve Sign-Off
Fresh Thinking by Snowden Optiro
What does it really mean to sign off on a mineral reserve? In this episode of Fresh Thinking, Tarrant Elkington (General Manager, Snowden Optiro) is joined by Allan Earl (Executive Consultant Mining) to discuss the real responsibility behind reserve sign-off and what it takes to stand behind it with confidence. From understanding the full value chain to applying critical review across technical inputs, this conversation explores where things can go wrong, and how to avoid it. If you’re working towards becoming a Competent Person, or already signing off on reserves, this is well worth a...
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Ep 151: When Bigger Isn’t Better: Rethinking Resource Model Size
Fresh Thinking by Snowden Optiro
In this episode of Fresh Thinking by Snowden Optiro, Jamie Oppelaar (Senior Consultant) and Tarrant Elkington (General Manager) discuss a growing challenge in mining: resource models are getting bigger and bigger. More blocks, more attributes, more simulations. While this can improve geological representation, it can also slow down optimisation, scheduling and everyday planning decisions. So how do we strike the right balance between detail and usability? Jamie and Tarrant explore why models are expanding, the practical consequences for engineers, and how geologists and planners can work...
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Ep150: Mineral Resource Estimation: What Really Is “Industry Standard”?
Fresh Thinking by Snowden Optiro
In this episode of Fresh Thinking by Snowden Optiro, our General Manager Dr Tarrant Elkington speaks with Senior Consultant Dr Gregory (Greg) Zhang about a common question in the mining industry: what is the real industry standard in mineral resource estimation? Drawing on experience reviewing projects across a range of commodities and deposit types, Greg discusses current practices in data management, QAQC, geological domaining, estimation methods such as kriging, and resource reporting. The conversation also explores how practices are evolving and the emerging role of simulation methods and...
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Ep 149: Building Resource Estimation Logic in Excel
Fresh Thinking by Snowden Optiro
In this episode of Fresh Thinking, Susan Havlin (Managing Consultant APAC) speaks with Dr Gregory Zhang (Senior Consultant APAC) about using Excel as a transparent learning environment for geostatistics. Rather than relying on black-box software, they explore how building the logic step by step in a spreadsheet can strengthen intuition, improve data discipline and deepen technical confidence. Whether you are a geologist, resource modeller or mining professional wanting to better understand what sits behind the software, this episode breaks down the thinking that underpins robust estimation....
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EP 148: Simulation Is Not Estimation - rethinking uncertainty in mining
Fresh Thinking by Snowden Optiro
In this episode of Fresh Thinking, Ian Glacken (Executive Consultant) and Dr Gregory Zhang (Senior Consultant) discuss one of the most important topics in modern resource modelling: uncertainty. From the long-standing debate of simulation vs estimation, to the growing focus on geological uncertainty and hierarchical truncated plurigaussian simulation, this episode explores where the mining industry stands — and where it still needs to improve. ⏱ Key Topics 00:00 – Introduction: Simulation in mining and why uncertainty matters 01:18 – Simulation vs estimation: what’s the real...
info_outlineIn this episode of Fresh Thinking by Snowden Optiro, Ian Glacken and Susan Havlin explore localised conditional simulation (LCS) and its role in modern resource estimation workflows.
Building on earlier discussions around estimation methods, recoverable resources, and conditional simulation, this episode brings everything together to explain how LCS converts multiple simulation realisations into a single, practical block model—while preserving realistic grade variability.
Key topics include:
- What localized conditional simulation is and why it matters
- How localization transforms multiple realizations into a single model
- The role of the E-type estimate in ranking and distribution
- Differences between LCS and traditional ordinary kriging
- How LCS supports recoverable resource estimation at the SMU scale
- The origins of localization and its relationship to methods like uniform conditioning and MIK