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6-12-24 Managing Risk and Return with Individual Treasury Bonds

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Release Date: 06/12/2024

1-7-25 Open Chat Q&A: Markets, Earnings, Taxes & Portfolio Strategy show art 1-7-25 Open Chat Q&A: Markets, Earnings, Taxes & Portfolio Strategy

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Markets are hitting all-time highs, earnings expectations are rising, and investors are navigating everything from oil prices to Roth conversions. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff take live viewer questions and explore the themes investors are most focused on right now. Topics discussed include why earnings may be the primary market driver this year, what recent all-time highs signal for forward returns, and how capital flows are shifting across sectors and asset classes. We also examine oil markets—WTI pricing, energy stocks, Venezuela supply dynamics—and what the “sweet spot” for...

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1-7-26 Markets Hit Highs as Complacency Builds | Before the Bell show art 1-7-26 Markets Hit Highs as Complacency Builds | Before the Bell

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Markets pushed to a new all-time high after successfully testing the 20-day moving average, with relative strength improving and momentum signals turning positive. However, following yesterday’s strong rally, futures are pointing slightly lower this morning. The Dow is approaching the psychologically important 50,000 level, while ten-year Treasury yields are beginning to ease after a recent surge. That shift could signal early rotation from equity risk back toward bonds. Volatility remains a key indicator to watch—despite November’s spike, the VIX is holding near 15, reflecting elevated...

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1-6-26 Financial Nihilism vs. Financial Planning show art 1-6-26 Financial Nihilism vs. Financial Planning

The Real Investment Show Podcast

More investors—especially Millennials and Gen Z—are treating markets like a casino. Not because they’re reckless, but because the traditional path to financial security feels broken. Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn break down Financial Nihilism vs. Financial Planning: why speculative behavior is rising, and what still works when confidence in long-term investing erodes. Options trading, crypto, meme assets, and betting apps offer fast outcomes in a world where housing is expensive, debt is high, and patience feels unrewarded. 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - ISM Index Weaker than Expected 4:25 -...

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1-6-26 Sector Rotation Signals Improving Market Breadth | Before the Bell show art 1-6-26 Sector Rotation Signals Improving Market Breadth | Before the Bell

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Markets are quietly sending important signals beneath the surface. Energy led early gains Monday, but strength broadened into financials as capital continued rotating from growth into value stocks. Over the past several weeks, value has steadily outperformed growth, while leadership has begun shifting away from mega-cap stocks into more underlying areas of the market. Notably, the S&P equal-weighted index reached a new all-time high, even as the cap-weighted index lagged. The performance gap between the two has narrowed from roughly 10% to about 6%, signaling improving market breadth. This...

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1-5-26 2026 Market Outlook: Bullish Momentum, Valuation Risks, and What Comes Next show art 1-5-26 2026 Market Outlook: Bullish Momentum, Valuation Risks, and What Comes Next

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Markets closed 2025 with strong gains, but the path forward into 2026 is far more nuanced than headline optimism suggests. Lance Roberts reviews what drove 2025’s market performance, why the Santa Claus Rally failed, and how shifting inflation trends, Federal Reserve policy expectations, and valuation levels are shaping market outlooks for 2026.How can investors navigate the New Year with realistic expectations, disciplined risk management, and diversified positioning, recognizing that returns may come with higher volatility than recent years. 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Maduro Impact on Oil; What's...

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1-5-26 Markets Enter 2026 Consolidation Phase as Volatility Looms | Before the Bell show art 1-5-26 Markets Enter 2026 Consolidation Phase as Volatility Looms | Before the Bell

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Markets wrapped up the year with solid gains, finishing roughly 17% higher, but momentum has cooled as stocks consolidate near recent highs. Despite briefly setting a new all-time high in late December, markets spent the final weeks of the year moving sideways, reflecting growing fatigue after an extended rally.   In this pre-market update, we review why the market’s two-month consolidation range matters, how staying above the 20-day moving average supports the broader trend, and why recent momentum sell signals do not necessarily signal a major downturn. With markets up eight...

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1-2-26 Trump Accounts: Smart Planning or Marketing Hype? show art 1-2-26 Trump Accounts: Smart Planning or Marketing Hype?

The Real Investment Show Podcast

“Trump Accounts” are being discussed as a new way to help children and young adults invest for the future—but are they a meaningful planning tool or simply clever branding? In this episode, we break down how Trump Accounts are structured, how they differ from traditional retirement and custodial accounts, and why return assumptions deserve careful scrutiny. We also discuss funding mechanics, diversification considerations, and what actually happens when a child reaches age 18. Importantly, we address what these accounts are not designed to do—including education planning, where 529...

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1-1-26 2026 Market Outlook: Bullish Case, Bear Risks & Strategy show art 1-1-26 2026 Market Outlook: Bullish Case, Bear Risks & Strategy

The Real Investment Show Podcast

As we begin the new year, this New Year’s Day market outlook takes a balanced, risk-aware look at what 2026 may hold for investors. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff examine the bullish case for markets, including the macro and technical backdrops supporting higher prices, while also addressing the growing risks beneath the surface—particularly stress in credit markets and the potential for lower long-term returns. The discussion explores how elevated valuations, tighter financial conditions, and shifting economic dynamics could impact portfolio outcomes in the year ahead. We also outline...

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12-31-25 Marketing for Financial Advisors in the AI Age - Greg Joslyn Interview show art 12-31-25 Marketing for Financial Advisors in the AI Age - Greg Joslyn Interview

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Marketing for financial advisors is being reshaped by artificial intelligence, changing search behavior, and tighter compliance constraints. Lance Roberts & Greg Joslyn break down how advisors can adapt their marketing and PR strategies without sacrificing credibility, consistency, or regulatory discipline. We discuss why persistence—not virality—is the true driver of long-term visibility, how AI fits into content creation and search optimization, and why social media works best when it is treated as a conversation rather than a broadcast channel. The discussion also covers optimal...

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12-30-25 Media, Markets & Reality: A Candid Conversation with Tom Zizka show art 12-30-25 Media, Markets & Reality: A Candid Conversation with Tom Zizka

The Real Investment Show Podcast

In this wide-ranging and candid conversation, Lance Roberts is joined by longtime friend and veteran television reporter Tom Zizka to discuss how media, markets, and economic reality have fundamentally changed over the past two decades. The discussion begins with the evolution of modern media—from the rise of social platforms and the “small screen” revolution to the growing pressures of monetization, speed, and narrative framing. Lance and Tom explore how storytelling has shifted from context-driven reporting to image-driven headlines, and what that means for public perception, trust,...

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More Episodes

It's Fed Day and Inflation Day: The FOMC meeting commences, and inflation in May cooled a bit. What will the Fed's Dot Plot show? Rate cut expectations are down to just two for this year, and likely not occuring until after the election. How will the Fed loosen QT? Markets set another all time high, marginally. The rally-restest-rally pattern continues. Apple was the big driver on Tuesday with the heralding of "Apple Intelligence." We answer viewers' questions about owning Bonds vs Treasuries vs ETF's. The saga of predictions, swimming in oil, and uranium's leap ahead of its reality. Our investing strategy now: What we're buying and selling, and why; how we manage risk.

SEG-1: Fed Day/Inflation Day; Apple Intelligence
SEG-2: Outlook for Owning Bonds
SEG-3: Swimming in Oil & The Saga of Predictions
SEG-4: How We Manage Risk

Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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Watch today's show video here:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5E6tkkfvRTQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 
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Articles mentioned in this report:
"It’s Not 2000. But There Are Similarities."
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/its-not-2000-but-there-are-similarities/
"Are Economic Reports Pointing To A Recession?"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
"Commodities And The Boom-Bust Cycle"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/commodities-and-the-boom-bust-cycle/
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The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is Now the Time to Buy Apple?" is here: 
https://youtu.be/3HXblWzZ5S4
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Our previous show is here: "How the 60/40 Investment Strategy Works for You"
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xv5IwzcX8Xc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2187s
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REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24):
https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh
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Get more info & commentary: 
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
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Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new
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