4-13-26 The S&P 500 Rally: What Comes Next?
The Real Investment Show Podcast
The S&P 500 just surged 8.2% off its March lows—reclaiming key technical levels and sitting within striking distance of all-time highs. But is this the start of a sustained move higher, or just a reflexive rally before another pullback? Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn break down what drove the rally—from extreme bearish sentiment and a volatility reset, to easing geopolitical tensions—and why those factors matter for investors right now. We also examine the critical technical signals, including the reclaiming of the 200-day moving average, and what history suggests about forward...
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4-13-26 Back Above 200-DMA? | Before the Bell
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Markets surged 8.2% last week, reclaiming the critical 200-day moving average within the key 4-week window—historically a positive signal for forward returns. Even more notable, the S&P 500 pushed back above the 50- and 20-DMAs, clearing major resistance levels in a powerful technical reversal. But this morning brings new uncertainty. Geopolitical tensions are rising as the U.S. Navy announces a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz following a failed cease-fire, with futures pointing modestly lower. After an extended rally—especially in Technology—markets may be due for a near-term...
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4-10-26 What To Do After You Inherit Money
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Receiving an inheritance can be life-changing—but without a clear plan, it can also lead to costly mistakes. Richard Rosso & Jonathan McCarty walk through the critical steps to take after inheriting money, from protecting the assets and understanding tax implications to building a long-term financial strategy. Key topics include: 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Smarties Candies & Holographic Tombstones 3:21 - Baby Boomers, Inheritances, & Great Wealth Transfer 5:31 - Planning for an Inheritance 8:03 - The Stress of Care-giving 12:59 - What to Do with the Money 15:38 - Tax Implications...
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4-9-26 US–Iran Deal: What Investors Must Watch Next
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Markets are reacting fast to signs of a potential resolution between the U.S. and Iran—but what should investors actually focus on next? A ceasefire or diplomatic breakthrough can spark a powerful short-term rally, driven by falling oil prices, easing geopolitical risk, and improved sentiment. But history shows these moves are often just the beginning—not the end—of the real story. Jon Penn & Michael Lebowitz break down the key signals investors need to watch as the situation evolves. Key topics include: 0:00 - INTRO 1:06 - How Durable Will Iran Cease-Fire Be? 8:50 - How We've...
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4-9-26 Oil vs Markets: The Ceasefire Test | Before the Bell
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Markets are showing early signs of stabilization following a ceasefire announcement, but one key variable continues to dominate: oil prices. Before the news, oil and risk assets were moving in near-perfect opposition, signaling heightened geopolitical sensitivity. Now, markets are attempting to hold above the 200-day moving average—a critical technical level that could define the next trend. The big question: will the ceasefire hold, and will oil confirm the market’s optimism? With earnings season approaching, potential buybacks ahead, and improving seasonality, the backdrop is turning...
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4-8-26 Starter Home vs Renting: The Real Money Decisions
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Buying your first home, planning a wedding, managing insurance changes, and starting a career—these are the real financial decisions young adults are facing right now. Jon Penn & Danny Ratliff are "Two Dads on Money," walking through a real-life scenario: from choosing to buy instead of rent in a limited market. Key topics include: 0:00 - INTRO 0:51 - Markets Respond to Iran Ceasefire 8:57 - Money Talks w Kids Young & Older 12:26 - Home Purchase Blues - Rent vs Buy? 17:37 - Mistakes w Houses in the Past 19:49 - Have the Money Conversation w Kids 23:27 - 1st Jobs & Pay...
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4-8-26 Ceasefire Rally: Breakout or Trap? | Before the Bell
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Markets are surging on news of a two-week ceasefire in Iran—but is this the start of a sustained rally or just another short-term bounce? With markets previously oversold and put activity at extreme levels, conditions were already in place for a reflexive move higher. Now, the ceasefire may be the catalyst pushing the S&P 500 back above the critical 200-day moving average. But here’s the catch: markets don’t usually bottom on good news. Hosted by RIA Senior Financial Advisors, Danny Ratliff, CFP, and Jon Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the...
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4-7-26 AI Advertising Explained: How Brands Win Inside ChatGPT
The Real Investment Show Podcast
AI is changing how consumers discover businesses, make decisions, and trust information. Lance Roberts visit with Joseph Levi, Co-founder & CEO of Noise Media, about how advertising inside AI platforms like ChatGPT could reshape marketing, SEO, and brand building. Lance and Joseph explore whether businesses can influence AI-generated answers, the difference between the best answer and a paid answer, and why trust and accuracy are becoming the most valuable currencies in the AI era. From niche positioning to content strategy, we explain what actually works and what doesn’t when trying to...
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4-6-26 AI: How To Invest in the Next Industrial Revolution - Brian Dunlap Interview
The Real Investment Show Podcast
AI is not hype — it is the most consequential economic shift since the Industrial Revolution, and it is rewriting the investment playbook. Lance Roberts and special guest, Blackrock's Brian Dunlap, break down the full AI and tech stock story: how we got here, where the money is flowing, and what investors need to know right now. From the infrastructure build-out and enterprise adoption to physical AI, robotics, and autonomous vehicles, we walk through the entire investment cycle — including the IDGT and BAI ETFs, the hyperscalers driving capex, and why data centers are the...
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4-3-26 Taxes Never Go Away
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Most retirement plans focus on savings and returns—but that’s not what truly puts retirement at risk. Richard Rosso, Sarah Buenger, & Jonathan McCarty commiserate on the annual chore of paying taxes...but, provide helpful guidance in planning so that your tax bite might be lessened. Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Investment Advisor, Sarah Buenger, CFP, and Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan McCarty, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer 0:00 - INTRO 0:20 - If Rich & Sarah Were on Gilligan's Island 1:05 - The Fine...
info_outlinePre-debate, Consumer Confidence, and a rally for Nvidia: earnings preview & market commentary: How long can markets remain over-bought? Investors' common mistakes: Acting too soon, and over-reacting. Markets can remain over-bought for a long time; a function of market momentum. Consumer confidence has been trending lower; the dichotomy of consumer expectations vs market performance. Vacation Theory & Consumer Confidence: what policies were in place? CNBC Economists: 2nd Trump term would re-heat inflation? Why tariff;s lead to inflation (and how consumers get aroun them.) 44% of inflation is in housing; don't mix politics w investing. Market behavior under Republican vs Democrat majority. Nvidia dominates AI-chip market (for now); what happens when competition comes into the market. Computers w lab-grown "organoid" brains.
SEG-1: How Long Can Markets Remain Over-bought?
SEG-2: The Irony in Consumer Confidence
SEG-3: Don't Mix Politics w Investing
SEG-4: Who'll Compete w Nvidia?
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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Watch today's show video here:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FiGzVkzaz-g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s
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Articles mentioned in this report:
"S&P 6300? Is That Outside The Realm Of Possibility?"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sp-6500-is-that-outside-the-realm-of-possibility/
"Bad Breadth Keeps Getting Worse"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "How Long Can Markets Remain Over-bought?" is here:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zO6Gwv9xAqs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
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Our previous show is here: "Is S&P 6,300 Outside the Realm of Possibility?"
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6g9HvIJSrPQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s
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