3-31-26 Oversold Bounce or Bigger Breakdown? | Before the Bell
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Markets opened higher Monday but faded into another selloff as end-of-quarter rebalancing continues to drive volatility. With roughly $65 billion in portfolio adjustments underway, much of the recent price action is technical—not fundamental. Oversold conditions are building across the board. Momentum, relative strength, and sentiment all suggest the market is primed for a reflexive rally, with bonds already seeing buying interest and yields easing slightly. But beneath the surface, a bigger issue is emerging. While prices have declined, forward earnings estimates have not adjusted lower. If...
info_outline
3-30-26 Subprime Crisis 2.0? Private Credit Risks Explained
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Lance Roberts breaks down the growing stress in private credit markets, rising default risks, and the recent wave of gated withdrawals across major funds. With comparisons to the 2008 financial crisis gaining traction, investors are asking a critical question: are we facing Subprime Crisis 2.0? We examine what made the 2008 collapse so catastrophic—leverage, derivatives, and systemic contagion—and compare it to today’s private credit landscape. While defaults are rising and liquidity concerns are real, the structure of private credit is fundamentally different. Hosted by RIA Advisors...
info_outline
3-30-26 Sell the Bounce Before the Next Drop | Before the Bell
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Markets are down roughly 7% from their peak and under sustained pressure, with five consecutive weeks of negative returns—an unusually extended stretch that historically signals a near-term inflection point. Oversold conditions, weak momentum, and deeply negative money flows suggest a reflexive bounce is likely in the coming days. But investors should be cautious. This is not the end of the correction cycle. Lance Roberts breaks down why any near-term rally should be used to rebalance risk—not chase upside. With geopolitical catalysts like Iran tensions and oil price volatility acting as...
info_outline
3-27-26 How to Beat the 4 Biggest Retirement Risks
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Most retirement plans focus on savings and returns—but that’s not what truly puts retirement at risk. Richard Rosso & Jonathan McCarty break down the four biggest threats retirees face: longevity, inflation, market volatility, and emotional decision-making, and more importantly, how to navigate them. Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer 0:00 - INTRO 0:18 - Rich's Dreams 2:03 - Dynamic Learning Series 3:02 - Easter Candy Inflation & Post-Covid Behaviors 7:31 - Panoramic Sugar Eggs &...
info_outline
3-26-26 Will AI Trigger the Next Great Depression?
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Will artificial intelligence spark the next economic boom—or trigger a crisis rivaling the Great Depression? A growing debate on Wall Street is emerging after research scenarios like the “Global Intelligence Crisis” raised concerns about a potential AI-driven economic shock. The core question is simple but critical: Will AI create unprecedented productivity and prosperity, or will it displace jobs faster than the economy can adapt? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down both sides. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager,...
info_outline
3-26-26 Markets Breakdown or Bounce? | Before the Bell
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Markets are testing the 200-DMA from below, a key resistance level. Failure to break above could increase downside pressure, but end-of-quarter rebalancing (~$62B in buying) may provide near-term support. Momentum is oversold, with relative strength starting to improve. A confirmed buy signal and positive divergence could drive a move toward 6,700, with resistance at the 20-DMA. Stay patient—markets can remain oversold, but improving technicals suggest potential for a recovery into early summer. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton,...
info_outline
3-25-26 Q&A Wednesday: Markets, Money & Your Questions Answered
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff answer your biggest questions about the markets, investing, and personal finance in today’s rapidly changing economic environment. From stock market volatility and interest rates to long-term investing strategies and risk management, nothing is off limits. Whether you’re a beginner or an experienced investor, this session is built around what you want to know right now. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer 0:00 - INTRO 1:13 -...
info_outline
3-25-26 Markets Poised for Oversold Bounce | Before the Bell
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Markets enter the pre-market deeply oversold, with sentiment turning increasingly negative—conditions that often lead to a short-term reflex rally. Investors are looking for a catalyst, and even minor geopolitical headlines could spark buying pressure. Key technical levels are in focus today, including the 200-day moving average and a major resistance zone between 6,700 and 6,800, where the 20-, 50-, and 100-day moving averages converge. This area is packed with trapped longs and heavy volume, suggesting any rally into this range could face selling pressure. Volume has been declining,...
info_outline
3-24-26 Asset Allocation, Benchmarks, and High-Yield Debt Traps
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Lance Roberts and Jon Penn tackle the most pressing portfolio questions investors and retirees are asking right now: Challenge the assumption that older investors should automatically shift to ultra-conservative allocations Whether every account in a multi-account household needs the same investment strategy why Roth IRAs may warrant a more aggressive growth posture How much weight each equity position should carry, and how many stocks is too many Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by...
info_outline
3-24-26 Markets Stall - Why We're Raising Cash | Before the Bell
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Markets opened Monday above the 200-day moving average but failed to hold — and that failure matters. We break down why we're reducing market exposure by raising cash, what the cluster of trapped longs means for any rally attempt, and why the 20-, 50-, and 100-DMA are all stacking up as overhead resistance. This is not a crash call. It is a disciplined risk management move while the market works through a technically compromised structure. Until price reclaims the 200-DMA on a sustained basis, we are advising caution. Watch to understand the full picture before the opening bell. Key topics...
info_outlinePre-debate, Consumer Confidence, and a rally for Nvidia: earnings preview & market commentary: How long can markets remain over-bought? Investors' common mistakes: Acting too soon, and over-reacting. Markets can remain over-bought for a long time; a function of market momentum. Consumer confidence has been trending lower; the dichotomy of consumer expectations vs market performance. Vacation Theory & Consumer Confidence: what policies were in place? CNBC Economists: 2nd Trump term would re-heat inflation? Why tariff;s lead to inflation (and how consumers get aroun them.) 44% of inflation is in housing; don't mix politics w investing. Market behavior under Republican vs Democrat majority. Nvidia dominates AI-chip market (for now); what happens when competition comes into the market. Computers w lab-grown "organoid" brains.
SEG-1: How Long Can Markets Remain Over-bought?
SEG-2: The Irony in Consumer Confidence
SEG-3: Don't Mix Politics w Investing
SEG-4: Who'll Compete w Nvidia?
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
-------
Watch today's show video here:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FiGzVkzaz-g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s
-------
Articles mentioned in this report:
"S&P 6300? Is That Outside The Realm Of Possibility?"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sp-6500-is-that-outside-the-realm-of-possibility/
"Bad Breadth Keeps Getting Worse"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
-------
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "How Long Can Markets Remain Over-bought?" is here:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zO6Gwv9xAqs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
-------
Our previous show is here: "Is S&P 6,300 Outside the Realm of Possibility?"
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6g9HvIJSrPQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s
--------
REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24):
https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh
-------
Get more info & commentary:
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
--------
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
--------
Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com
Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
--------
Subscribe to SimpleVisor:
https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new
--------
Connect with us on social:
https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice
https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts
https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/
https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
#Investors #Households #FullyInvested #Buying #Corporations #SamStovall #SP500 #MarketInvestment #FinancialStrategy #InvestmentTrends #ConsumerSpending #ConsumerIrony #Nvidia #AI #ArtificialIntelligence #Organoids #Markets #Money #Investing