The Real Investment Show Podcast
Is inflation here to stay, or could higher prices eventually correct themselves? Lance Roberts explains why the difference between "good" and "bad" inflation matters for the Federal Reserve, interest rates, Treasury yields, and the stock market. We examine what inflation trends reveal about consumer purchasing power, Federal Reserve policy, bond yields, and the outlook for investors. Could today's inflation pressures eventually become tomorrow's economic weakness? 0:00 - INTRO 0:51 - Heavy Week of Earnings Driving markets 2:05 - Markets Sell off on Friday 3:52 - Markets Still Stuck in Same...
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Technology stocks are under pressure as investors rotate from growth to value, while the S&P 500 approaches a critical test of its 100-day moving average. Following Friday's selloff, the market remains trapped in a two-month consolidation range, with a short-term momentum sell signal suggesting further downside pressure. AI-related suppliers and neocloud stocks suffered particularly sharp losses, even as broader market breadth improved. Lance Roberts examines how falling 10-year Treasury yields are fueling sector rotation, why equal-weight stocks are outperforming mega-cap technology, and...
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How much does owning a dog or cat really cost over its lifetime? From adoption fees and food to veterinary care, pet insurance, and estate planning, pet ownership comes with financial obligations that can significantly affect your household budget. Richard Rosso & Jonathan McCarty examine the true lifetime costs of pet ownership, including the differences between dogs and cats, unexpected healthcare expenses, dental care, travel arrangements, and ways to manage financial risks. Should pet expenses have their own line item in your financial plan? Is pet insurance worth the premiums? And...
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Inflation remains stubbornly elevated, raising fresh questions about the Federal Reserve's next move on interest rates. Will the Fed hold rates higher for longer, or will slowing economic growth force policymakers to reconsider? Lance Roberts and Michael Lebowitz examine the latest inflation trends, the Fed's interest rate outlook, and what persistent price pressures could mean for the stock market, Treasury yields, and investors. Can the Federal Reserve bring inflation under control without undermining economic growth? We discuss the challenges facing monetary policymakers, the risks of...
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Hotter-than-expected CPI inflation data sent stocks lower Wednesday, erasing the S&P 500's recent breakout to all-time highs and pushing markets back into the trading range that has persisted since August. With the index now threatening to test its 100-day moving average, is a larger correction developing, or is this simply normal October market behavior? Lance Roberts examines why improving market breadth and a rotation from growth to value stocks may be helping stabilize markets despite weakness in Technology and semiconductor shares. The equal-weighted S&P 500 (RSP) is showing signs...
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What do the latest economic developments, stock market trends, Federal Reserve policy, and geopolitical events mean for your investments and retirement plans? Join Lance Roberts and Danny Ratliff for Q&A Wednesday as we examine the past week's financial headlines, market volatility, interest rates, Treasury yields, and investment opportunities. 0:00 - INTRO 0:56 - CPI Day & Financials 3:23 - Rotation from Growth to Value 4:04 - Russell 2000 Breaks 200-DMA 7:07 - Allergies & Interest Rates and Real Estate 12:37 - Investment Capital Movement from Europe to US 13:05 - Bear...
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The S&P 500 continues to hold steady, but beneath the surface, market weakness persists as investors rotate from growth stocks into value. Technology and semiconductor stocks are facing selling pressure, while mega-cap names like Apple, Alphabet (Google), and Nvidia help support the market-cap-weighted S&P 500. Meanwhile, the Russell 2000, S&P SmallCap 600, and S&P MidCap 400 reveal a different picture. Small-cap and mid-cap stocks continue to struggle, with weak market breadth and widening performance gaps across sectors. In today's Before the Bell, Lance Roberts examines the...
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Is Gen Z gambling away its financial future? And with 10-year Treasury yields near 5%, are bonds finally offering investors a safer bet? Lance Roberts & Jon Penn examine two very different approaches to financial risk: the growing popularity of sports betting, online gambling, and speculative trading among younger Americans, and the potential investment opportunities emerging in the U.S. Treasury market. 0:00 - INTRO 1:12 - Bill King Recap* & Gen Z Gambling Preview 2:27 - Earnings Season Kicks off: Banks' Buying Opportunity? 4:35 - The Only Thing Holding Market Up is Technology...
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The S&P 500 remains near all-time highs, but Technology and Energy are doing most of the heavy lifting. Financials, Utilities, and Real Estate continue to lag, exposing weakness beneath the broader market. In today's Before the Bell, Lance Roberts examines the pressure on bank stocks, including JPMorgan Chase (JPM) and Goldman Sachs (GS), as oversold conditions, earnings reactions, and emerging technical buy signals suggest a potential turning point. With some financial stocks trading near three-standard-deviation oversold levels, could an early selloff give way to afternoon buying? Lance...
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What happens to the economy when population growth slows—or goes into reverse? Lance Roberts & Bill King explore the demographic forces reshaping the United States and the world, from falling birth rates and China’s One Child Policy to immigration, aging populations, Social Security, housing, inflation, and the future of work. We examine what depopulation really means for economic growth and retirement sustainability, why demographic shifts could alter housing demand and labor markets, and how immigration policy may become increasingly important as countries compete for workers and...
info_outlineThe Federal Reserve raised interest rates for the first time in three years, but for investors, the bigger question is what comes next.
Lance Roberts and Michael Lebowitz break down what the Fed said, what Chairman Kevin Warsh signaled about inflation and future monetary policy, and why the Fed's updated rate projections matter for markets. With most policymakers anticipating another rate increase this year, is this the beginning of a new tightening cycle, or could the Fed be closer to "one and done"?
What could higher rates mean for stocks, bonds, economic growth, and portfolio strategy as investors look toward the Fed's remaining meetings in 2026?
0:00 INTRO
1:12 - Retail Sales Better than Expected
3:20 - Market Reaction to Rate Hike, Dot Plots, & Commentary
5:14 - Room for a Rally? Odds vs History
10:40 - Mrs. Roberts' Hamburger Date
13:37 - Fed Hikes Rates: Policy Mistake?
17:02 - No Rate Cuts Next Year?
19:50 - Why Would the Fed Raise Rates? (Looking at PCE)
24:02 - It's All About the Bond Market
24:44 - Kevin Warsh' non-Forward Guidance & Dot Plots
27:16 - What Problems Will Rate Hike Cause?
30:08 - This is screwy
31:06 - The Neutral Rate is Already Restrictive
32:27 - Has the Bond Market Already Done the Fed's Job? (article)
35:44 - When the Fed Fights Inflation, it Makes Your Life Worse
37:18 - Is This a Start of a New Rate Cycle, or Continuation of Past Rates?
38:46 - This is an Oil Problem
39:26 - Fed Funds Rate History (chart)
42:17 - Give it a few days...
Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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Watch today's Before the Bell report, "What Fed Rate Hikes Mean for Stocks,"
https://youtu.be/x3R2_RXa6ew
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Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel:
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Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday: What Will The Fed Do?"
https://youtube.com/live/a_oJzPPbdLQ
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Articles Mentioned in Today's Show:
"Has The Bond Market Already Done The Fed’s Job?"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/has-the-bond-market-already-done-the-feds-job/
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