9-19-25 Gold Jobs the Fed - Axel Merks Market Outlook
The Real Investment Show Podcast
From the Fed’s next move to the outlook for gold and gold miners, Axel Merk, CEO of Merk Investments, shares with Lance Roberts his take on today’s biggest market risks: The largest jobs revision ever, the Fed’s lagging response, why active management beats passive distortions, and how investors should think about risk, contrarian views, and the role of gold in their portfolios. 0:18 - Introduction of Alex Merk, CEO Merk Investments 2:01 - Annual revisions to BLS Employment Report - Largest negative revision to jobs in history. 4:20 - William Poole's explanation of BLS...
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9-17-25 Big Day: Fed Day
The Real Investment Show Podcast
It’s Fed Day – the most anticipated event for markets this month. The Federal Reserve’s rate decision and Jerome Powell’s press conference could shape the direction for stocks, bonds, and the economy heading into year-end. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff break down: • What the Fed is likely to announce today • The impact on interest rates, inflation, and growth • How markets ($SPY, $QQQ, bonds, gold) typically react to Fed decisions • Why risk management matters as volatility rises around policy changes Stay tuned for clear insights on how today’s...
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9/18/25 No Risk-Free Path for the Fed
The Real Investment Show Podcast
The Federal Reserve cut rates on Wednesday, September 17, 2025 — but the path forward is anything but risk-free. Markets had already priced in much of the move, leaving investors to wonder if Powell’s guidance will calm volatility or spark fresh uncertainty. Lance Roberts and Michael Lebowitz look at what the Fed’s latest decision means for stocks, bonds, and the economy. Why Powell’s words may matter more than the rate cut itself. The risks of inflation, slowing growth, and financial instability in the months ahead. 📈 Whether you’re an investor, trader, or just watching the...
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9-18-25 Market Volatility Looms Following Fed Cut | Before the Bell
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Markets sold off, then rallied back to even after the Fed announced its first rate move in nine months. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq are showing early signs of rounded tops, but both are likely to set fresh all-time highs today. Volatility continues to compress, hitting new lows — but that calm may not last. Tomorrow brings one of the largest options expirations ever, setting the stage for heightened volatility as quarter-end re-balancing also comes into play. The dollar rallied on the Fed’s cut, while the Magnificent 7 saw mixed performance, with some under-performing as money rotated into...
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9-17-25 Fed Risk, Options Expiration & Market Volatility Ahead | Before the Bell
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Stocks head into today’s session on edge as the risk lies to the downside if the Fed disappoints. Adding to the mix, a record options expiration Friday could bring heightened volatility for the rest of the week. Money flows continue to chase equities, but the biggest rallies have come from the most-shorted stocks. International and emerging markets are also showing strong momentum, with many trading well above their moving averages. Still, a widening gap persists between S&P equal-weight and market-cap indexes, as AI-driven tech remains the primary driver of gains. Meanwhile, bond yields...
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9-16-25 Invest or Index? 5 Smart Strategies Explained
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Should you invest actively or stick with indexing? Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn break down five different strategies investors use to build wealth, reduce risk, and stay ahead of the market. From active stock picking to index fund simplicity, we’ll explore the pros, cons, and real-world applications of each approach so you can better understand how they fit into your financial plan. 📺 Subscribe for more insights: https://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow SEG-1a: Fed Cuts & Commentary, Buy Back Window Shuts SEG-1b: Market Movement Muted SEG-2a: Tesla Shares &...
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9-16-25 Three Key Influences Driving Markets into December | Before the Bell
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Markets continue the current phase of compression and no big moves in anticipation of Fed rate cuts to be announced tomorrow. Markets are operating under the lowest levels of compressed volatility we've seen in a while. Markets have just been ticking-up (or down) 20-basis points, 30-basis points each day, not making much headway. There is a slight tilt of more buyers than sellers at this point. The MACD buy signal is ON at elevated levels, which limits much more upside. We have moved into the seasonally weak period of the year, August and September, in which there is typically more volatility,...
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9-15-25 Earnings Slowdown Ahead - Jobs Data Sends Warning
The Real Investment Show Podcast
The jobs market isn’t just about employment—it’s a leading signal for corporate earnings. In this episode, we explore how recent employment data revisions and slowing job growth are flashing caution for corporate profits. Here’s what you’ll learn: Why employment trends often lead earnings results How slowing payroll growth may impact revenue and margins Key sectors most at risk from weaker labor demand What this signal could mean for the stock market outlook Portfolio considerations as corporate profits face pressure Understanding the link between the labor market and earnings is...
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9-15-25 All Time Highs on Muted Moves | Before the Bell
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Markets hit another all time high last week, but on very muted moves as investors continue climb a wall of worry. Markets continue to test the 20-DMA and rally back above...another pullback to that level would not be surprising. Markets are somewhat over bought on a relative strength basis, and not sitting on a very tight MACD momentum signal. Retail buying is approaching some of the highest levels we've seen, while professional investors' allocations are still somewhat underweight equities (computer traded algorithms are excepted). AS we head into the end of the quarter, we could see...
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9-12-25 The Essential Hierarchy of Money Goals
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Where should your money go first? Too often, people skip ahead to investing or wealth strategies before laying the right foundation. Richard Rosso and Matt Doyle break down the essential hierarchy of money goals—a clear order of priorities to help you stay on track. From emergency savings and debt reduction to investing, wealth protection, and legacy planning, this framework shows you exactly how to progress step by step. By focusing on the right goals at the right time, you’ll reduce stress, improve financial security, and set yourself up for long-term success. Hosted by RIA Advisors...
info_outlineIt's 2024 Election-eve: Hedge funds are long on a presumed outcome; watch for a pick up in volatility. The Fed meets on the day after the election; there are still about 100 S&P Companies left to report. Reference Lance's weekend article on buy backs, Wolf in Sheep's Clothing: Apple spent $100-B on stock buy backs, when they could have purchased Intel for $99-B and produced their own chips. But, no. investors should do nothing on this day before the election; any move you make could be wrong. RIP Quincy Jones & Peanuts the Squirrel; Earnings Season Beat Rates are still elevated 80% (w charts). Roughly 10% of earnings are manufactured, and these are boosted by buy backs. Jerome Powell commentary this week will depend upon election outcome; he doesn't know yet. Lance' discussion on interest rates and debt overhang: Remember the Fed's job is to protect the banks. Lending money into existence is how economy works. Interest Rates are like a virus. Expectations are for a .25-bp rate cut. The IRS is raising the 401k max contribution ceiling by $500 to $23,500 for 2025. How "later" shows up tomorrow. Saving is a discipline.
SEG-1: Markets on Standstill
SEG-2: Earnings Season Beat Rates Still Elevated
SEG-3: Interest Rates Are Like a Virus
SEG-4: 401k Ceilings & the Discipline of Saving Money
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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Watch today's show video here:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=isHueBB3EwY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s
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Articles mentioned in this report:
"10 Smart Money Moves to Make Right Now"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/10-smart-money-moves-to-make-right-now/
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The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Don't Do Anything Today" is here:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ureIqdQOgyo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
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Our previous show is here: "Ten Money Smart Things To Do Before Year's End"
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-GA2ZIzl8ws&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1900s
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