8-31-26 September Volatility Test Begins | Before the Bell
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Release Date: 08/31/2026
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Is Gen Z gambling away its financial future? And with 10-year Treasury yields near 5%, are bonds finally offering investors a safer bet? Lance Roberts & Jon Penn examine two very different approaches to financial risk: the growing popularity of sports betting, online gambling, and speculative trading among younger Americans, and the potential investment opportunities emerging in the U.S. Treasury market. 0:00 - INTRO 1:12 - Bill King Recap* & Gen Z Gambling Preview 2:27 - Earnings Season Kicks off: Banks' Buying Opportunity? 4:35 - The Only Thing Holding Market Up is Technology...
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The S&P 500 remains near all-time highs, but Technology and Energy are doing most of the heavy lifting. Financials, Utilities, and Real Estate continue to lag, exposing weakness beneath the broader market. In today's Before the Bell, Lance Roberts examines the pressure on bank stocks, including JPMorgan Chase (JPM) and Goldman Sachs (GS), as oversold conditions, earnings reactions, and emerging technical buy signals suggest a potential turning point. With some financial stocks trading near three-standard-deviation oversold levels, could an early selloff give way to afternoon buying? Lance...
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What happens to the economy when population growth slows—or goes into reverse? Lance Roberts & Bill King explore the demographic forces reshaping the United States and the world, from falling birth rates and China’s One Child Policy to immigration, aging populations, Social Security, housing, inflation, and the future of work. We examine what depopulation really means for economic growth and retirement sustainability, why demographic shifts could alter housing demand and labor markets, and how immigration policy may become increasingly important as countries compete for workers and...
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Estate planning is about more than deciding who gets what. Poor planning, unequal circumstances among children, prior financial assistance, caregiver responsibilities, and mismatched inherited assets can create family conflicts that last for years. Richard Rosso and Jonathan McCarty discuss how to have the important conversations before an estate plan is finalized, including treating siblings differently when their circumstances are different, caregiver contracts for children who live nearby, inheritance stipulations, beneficiary alignment, and why “equal” isn't always the same as...
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Is the Federal Reserve relying on a metric that cannot be reliably measured? Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan recently discussed the role of the Treasury term premium in determining whether rising long-term interest rates are doing some of the Fed’s work for it. Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz examine what the term premium actually represents, why different models disagree, and whether policymakers risk putting too much emphasis on an uncertain estimate when setting interest rates. 0:00 - INTRO 0:50 - Earnings Season & Optimistic Guidance 2:10 - Bond...
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The S&P 500's breakout to all-time highs is losing momentum. With stocks retreating into their recent trading range, is this a failed breakout or a healthy pullback before a stronger fourth-quarter rally? Lance Roberts examines the market's weakening breakout, key support levels at the 20-day and 50-day moving averages, and why a short-term correction could help relieve overbought conditions. With earnings season approaching, corporate guidance could provide the next catalyst for stocks. Meanwhile, rising Treasury yields, today's bond auction, and continued weakness in small-cap and...
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Markets are pushing to record highs, but investors have plenty to question. Can the rally keep going as Treasury yields remain elevated, the labor market cools, AI enthusiasm drives Technology stocks, and geopolitical tensions continue to influence oil and inflation? Lance Roberts and Danny Ratliff answer your questions from the YouTube live chat and examine the economic, geopolitical, and investing stories shaping markets right now. Bring your questions and join the conversation as we separate market signals from headlines and discuss what investors should be watching next. 0:00 -...
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The S&P 500 is on the cusp of breaking out to new all-time highs after the NASDAQ has already pushed into record territory. With futures pointing higher and momentum turning positive, the question now is whether the S&P 500 can break above resistance and, more importantly, hold those gains. The setup has several potential tailwinds. Earnings season is approaching, oil prices have retreated sharply from recent highs, and interest rates appear extremely extended and vulnerable to a retracement. Lower oil prices and easing Treasury yields could reduce inflation concerns and provide...
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You can earn a solid average return in retirement and still run out of money. The reason may be sequence of returns risk — the danger of suffering significant market losses early in retirement, while simultaneously withdrawing money from your portfolio. Lance Roberts & Jon Penn explain why the order of investment returns matters so much once you transition from saving to spending, and examine the math behind the 4% withdrawal rule, why early retirement losses can be so difficult to recover from, how taxes can increase the effective draw on a portfolio, and why starting market valuations...
info_outlineThe Real Investment Show Podcast
The S&P 500 is on the cusp of breaking out to new all-time highs after the NASDAQ has already pushed into record territory. With futures pointing higher and momentum turning positive, the question now is whether the S&P 500 can break above resistance and, more importantly, hold those gains. The setup has several potential tailwinds. Earnings season is approaching, oil prices have retreated sharply from recent highs, and interest rates appear extremely extended and vulnerable to a retracement. Lower oil prices and easing Treasury yields could reduce inflation concerns and provide...
info_outlineSeptember arrives with markets under pressure, volatility unusually compressed, and the S&P 500 testing key technical support. With earnings season over and economic data taking center stage, investors could face a more challenging stretch as momentum stocks weaken and midterm election uncertainty approaches.
Lance Roberts examines the market’s sell signal, the potential for a pullback toward the 50-DMA and 100-DMA, and why the 7,500 area could become important support. With rapid market rotation making risk management more difficult, maintaining a cash buffer, managing bond duration, and avoiding emotional investment decisions could be increasingly important as September volatility returns.
Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel:
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Articles mentioned in this report:
"Druckenmiller Warning: The Bond Market Already Priced It"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/druckenmiller-warning-the-bond-market-already-priced-it/
"Loss: Why Crashes, Timing & Valuations Matter (Chapter 3 of 5)"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/loss-why-crashes-timing-valuations-matter-chapter-3-of-5/
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