Peloton Free Cash Flow | New Inflation Target for SA?
WorldWide Markets with Simon Brown
Release Date: 05/27/2025
WorldWide Markets with Simon Brown
Worldwide Markets โ Episode 657 (19 November 2025) ๐๏ธ๐ ๐ฅ This Week on Worldwide Markets Good things are happening in South Africa ๐ฟ๐ฆ, bubble-watching on global markets ๐, fresh ETF listings from Ninety One ๐, strong local results (Astral ๐, WeBuyCars ๐, Ninety One ๐ผ), and the Year-End Power Hour opens for bookings ๐คโจ. ๐ Bubble Talk: When Does It Pop? Guest Insight: Citigroupโs Dirk Willer (via Odd Lots podcast) Definition: A bubble = asset prices 2 standard deviations above the 1-year average. His exit rule: โก๏ธ Identify the drivers โ the...
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Worldwide Markets โ Episode 656 (12 November) Powered by Standard Bank Global Markets and Shyft โ the global money app that puts travel, shopping, payments and investments in the palm of your hand ๐๐ธ 1) JSE Under Pressure ๐๏ธโ๏ธ Two issues in the spotlight: a) Competition Commission Complaint A2X alleges JSE is being anti-competitive around BDA & settlement. This could have a long regulatory process. No quick outcomes expected. b) Matengu Allegations Matengu alleges share price manipulation and claims to have emails implicating JSE directors. JSE has fired back and...
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๐ Worldwide Markets โ Episode 655 Date: 5 November Host: Simon Brown Powered by: Standard Bank Global Markets & โ the global money app for travel, payments & investing. ๐๏ธ This Weekโs Big Questions When will markets crash? ๐คฏ๐ Will we finally get a sovereign ratings upgrade? ๐ฟ๐ฆ๐ผ Optasia* listsโฆ but no IPO fireworks ๐ผ๐ SA vehicle sales accelerate again ๐๐ ๐ Shyft Migration Update If you are an OST/Webtrader/ASI client โ but have not yet been notified about migrating to Shyft โ that simply means your group is scheduled for...
info_outlineWorldWide Markets with Simon Brown
๐ World Wide Markets Ep. 654 โ 29 October 2025 ๐๏ธ โGold took us up โฆ and gold will take us down.โ ๐ช Gold Takes the JSE for a Ride Gold led the JSE to record highs โ and now itโs leading it back down. Year-to-date returns: Gold +49 %, Harmony +87 %, Pan African +126 %, DRD +150 %, Gold Fields +162 %, AngloGold Ashanti* +167 %! Excluding dividends! Simon notes clear support around $3,600-3,800, with further downside likely. The Top 40 is up ~38 % YTD, but the Resources Index (Resi) is +93 % โ remove that, and the marketโs ~20 %. Translation: half this yearโs...
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๐ Worldwide Markets Ep. 653 โ Gold Crashes, Markets Burn, and Optasiaโs JSE Listing ๐๏ธ Hosted by Simon Brown ๐ Recorded: Tuesday, 21 October 2025 ๐ Powered by Standard Bank Global Markets, Retail & Shyft โ The global money app that puts travel, shopping, payments and investments in the palm of your hand. ๐ฅ Local Markets Crushed A brutal day on the JSE as the market closed down 2.5%, with resources tumbling 7.8% despite a steady rand (R17.43). Gold miners collapsed: Implats & Sibanye -10%, Gold Fields & Harmony -9%, AngloGold* -8%. PGMs also fell...
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๐๏ธ Worldwide Markets Ep. 652 โ โDividends, Gold, and Gearing Gone Wildโ ๐ 15 October 2025 | Hosted by Simon Brown | Powered by Standard Bank SHYFT ๐ช Gold Rush Continues Gold is unstoppable! ๐ Now trading above R4,100/oz, the yellow metal has clocked eight consecutive green weeks โ the longest winning streak since early 2024. Simon digs into: ๐ Historical patterns since the pandemic: jump โ consolidate โ jump again ๐ฆ Central banks as persistent buyers โ but what happens if they ever stop? ๐ค With gold having doubled in three years, central banksโ reserves...
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๐๏ธ Worldwide Markets Ep. 651 โ โValue on the JSE? We Find the Cheapest Sharesโ (8 October 2025) ๐ Recorded Tuesday afternoon | Powered by Standard Bank & ๐ก Episode Overview This week Simon Brown digs into value on the JSE โ where the cheapest shares might be hiding ๐. He also unpacks: The Purple Group* pullback ๐ฃ ๐ (spoiler: itโs been a wild year!) Upcoming ๐ง ๐ฃ Purple Group: Pullback or Panic? After a huge rally to R2.74, Purple Group has pulled back โ but no need to panic. Likely to find support around R2.10, with upside targets around R3.50...
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๐ Worldwide Markets Episode 650 โ 1 October 2025 Hosted by Simon Brown Powered by Standard Bank Global Markets & the ๐ณ๐ ๐ Key Topics This Week ๐ Purple Group* & EasyEquities Purple Group share price up ~150% this year ๐ Results driven by non-revenue income (inactivity fees & loyalty program) Strong client acquisition via Capitec & Discovery Bank partnerships ๐ฆ Trading volumes soaring in a bullish market ๐น Purple Group | YTD to close 29 Sep 25 ๐ฐ Top 40 hits 100,000 Thanks to gold miners & PGMs โ๏ธ AngloGold Ashanti* up nearly...
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๐ Worldwide Markets Ep. 649 โ Building a Second Brain ๐ง โจ Recorded on 24 September 2025 (from the beach!) โ Hosted by Simon Brown This week, Simon takes a break from market talk ๐๐ to explore something equally powerful: how to manage the flood of data and information we face every day. Instead of focusing on stocks, currencies, or central banks, he dives into the idea of creating a "second brain" โ a system to capture, organize, and use knowledge effectively. ๐ Episode Highlights ๐ง Brains are great at decisions โ quick choices like what to eat or which route to...
info_outlineWorldWide Markets with Simon Brown
๐ World Wide Markets Ep. 648 โ Cash-Rich Companies, Fed Cuts & Chinaโs Housing Woes Host: Simon Brown Date: 17 September 2025 ๐ Chinaโs Housing Market New house prices fell 2.5% YoY โ still negative since May 2022. Bottomed in October 2023 (-5.9%) and now trending upward. Reflects weak Chinese consumer confidence, similar to South Africa ๐จ๐ณ๐ฟ๐ฆ. Evergrandeโs collapse still casts a shadow. Chinese New Home index YonY ๐ฆ Central Banks in Focus FOMC (US): Decision due Wednesday evening. Market expects 25bps cut, with more cuts likely in Oct & Dec. US...
info_outline- SARB inflation target ๐ฏ
Inflation remains well below target at 2.8%, raising expectations of a rate cut at Thursdayโs MPC meeting. New long-term target could shift to 3%.
โณ Rate cut coming? Marketโs betting on 25bps; Simon wants 50bps.
๐ก Lower target = anchored expectations = tamer wage negotiations. -
Peloton (PTON) ๐ดโโ๏ธ
The pandemic darling may be turning a corner with solid free cash flow returning.
๐ต Q3 FY25: $94.6m FCF (vs $10.7m in Q1)
๐ Stock at $7.50 (down from $170). Risky turnaround, but improving numbers.
๐ Subscriptions reviving; de-risked but needs deeper digging. -
Gold Power Hour coming 19 June ๐ช
Event: โKnow when to hold it, know when to fold it.โ
๐ 19 June with Standard Bank
๐ Gold had its highest ever weekly close โ bullish candles and all. -
Rand strength ๐ช๐ฟ๐ฆ
ZAR gaining momentum: from 19.90 to 17.88.
๐ Dollar index weakening, Trump tariff noise not shaking markets โ yet.
๐ฎ Simon sees 16.80 as possible ahead.
USDZAR 27 May 2025 | weekly chart Trump tariffs whiplash ๐บ๐ธ๐
๐ Flip-flops on 50% EU tariffs: delay to June? Or back to July 9?
๐ญ Oval Office ambush with Ramaphosa. No real surprises.
๐ Market's still waiting for an actual deal โ not just handshakes.-
Renegen* (REN) & ASP Isotopes (ASPI) ๐งช
๐จ Renegen deal: 1 share of ASP gets ~0.09 of REN.
๐ Simon holding Renegen for Phase 2 helium โ not keen on ASP.
๐ฐ Nasdaq listing delays = funding delays. -
Sasol (SOL) โ๏ธ
๐ธ Transnet drops appeal, SOL gets R4bn court award.
๐ Stock rally confirmed โ chart looking better, Brent still a drag.
๐ข Oil remains the key driver. -
Pick n Pay (PIK) ๐
๐ Still losing money, but less than before.
๐ท Sean Summersโ contract extended to 2028. Break-even delayed.
๐ฐ Boxer + R4bn cash > market cap = value if turnaround succeeds.
๐ง Market says: โWe don't believe it. Yet.โ -
Nampak (NPK) ๐ฆ
โ Another slow but steady turnaround.
๐ Results not amazing but consumer headwinds easing. -
Altron (AEL) ๐๐ก
๐ Strong Netstar performance. Solid accounting tailwinds coming.
๐ฌ Simon: โOne of the few real turnaround wins.โ
๐ง Potential still there โ analyst upbeat. -
Harmony (HAR) + Copper ๐ฆ๐บ๐ง
๐ฐ Buying Aussie copper mine for $1bn โ diversifying away from gold.
โ๏ธ Adds immediate copper cash flow = de-risked future.
๐ Copper demand = chips, EVs, energy. Chart still flat for now. -
PGMs: Platinum & Palladium ๐ฟ
๐ Trading in long-term ranges (R830โR1100).
๐ Not breaking out yet; charts uninspiring.
๐ฆ Stockpiles still working through post-Russia invasion.
๐ EV transition and reduced supply in focus.
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