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JSE in the Cross Hairs (and Proposing Changes) | Don't Fight the Trend

WorldWide Markets with Simon Brown

Release Date: 11/11/2025

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Worldwide Markets – Episode 656 (12 November)

Powered by Standard Bank Global Markets and Shyft – the global money app that puts travel, shopping, payments and investments in the palm of your hand πŸŒπŸ’Έ


1) JSE Under Pressure πŸ›οΈβš–οΈ

Two issues in the spotlight:

a) Competition Commission Complaint
A2X alleges JSE is being anti-competitive around BDA & settlement. This could have a long regulatory process. No quick outcomes expected.

b) Matengu Allegations
Matengu alleges share price manipulation and claims to have emails implicating JSE directors.

  • JSE has fired back and asked: Produce the emails.
  • There is also a clear seller overhang (ex-director wanting out), which explains the price pressure more plausibly.

Takeaway: Overhang selling often looks like manipulation. But without proof, it's just selling pressure.


2) Should We Scrap SENS Announcements & HEPS? πŸ€”πŸ“°

The JSE is consulting on two potential changes:

  • Reduce some SENS announcements (e.g., administrative ETF notices, floating rate resets, etc.)
  • Possibly remove HEPS (Headline Earnings Per Share)

Simon’s view:
🚫 Do not remove HEPS.
HEPS is invaluable as an adjusted earnings measure, especially in SA where one-off corporate events are common. The process cost argument doesn’t justify removing a critical metric.


4) Don’t Fight the Trend πŸŸ’πŸ“ˆ

Two strong trends right now:

a) Gold πŸ₯‡

  • Back above $4,100/oz after two brief red weeks.
  • Long-term trend still strongly up.
  • No point trying to call tops – enjoy the trend while it runs.

b) Rand πŸ‡ΏπŸ‡¦πŸ’ͺ

  • Strengthening since the β€œliberation blowout” in April (~19.90).
  • Now around R17.14 – and trend still down (strengthening).
  • This is not just USD weakness.
  • Big inflows into SA bonds + stronger commodity prices supporting.

Next key level: R17 β†’ If broken, expect move to low R15s.


5) Results Round-Up πŸ“ŠπŸ’Ό

Company Sector Key Takeaways Outlook
Stor-Age* REIT / Self-storage SA strong, UK okay. Trading near NAV (R17.77). Yield ~7%. Fairly valued, solid operator.
Premier Group Bread, food manufacturing Revenue +6%, HEPS +27%. Efficiency gains + declining input costs. Not cheap, but high quality compounder.
GE Aerospace (formerly General Electric) Aviation Engines & Service 75% of commercial planes use GE turbines. Service business = high margin recurring revenue. Trend beneficiary as global travel grows. Expensive, but maybe deserved.

6) KAP (PG Bison, UniTrans, beds, auto aftermarket) πŸ›οΈπŸššπŸ› οΈ

  • Earnings slump β†’ PE looked blown out, but forward expectations show return to single-digit PE once capex is absorbed.
  • Small-caps remain deeply unloved.
  • Worth watching, but needs a catalyst.

7) Gold Miners – Pick Your Favourite β›οΈβœ¨

If gold keeps running, most producers will make serious money.

Simon’s preferences:

  • AngloGold Ashanti* (ANG) – strong price action, holding trends well.
  • Pan African (PAN) – up 7x since Oct 2022.

Others:

  • Harmony – now has meaningful copper exposure.
  • Sibanye* – gold + PGMs.

ETF option: Satrix RESI* – doubled this year (helped heavily by gold).

⏳ How long to hold?
While gold trend remains intact.


Events & Dates πŸ—“οΈ

  • Monday 17 November @ 10:00 – 91 Income ETFs webcast
    Book: justonelap.com/events
  • Friday 8 December – Final Power Hour:
    β€œPosition Your Portfolio for 2026”
    Bookings open next week.

Simon Brown

* I hold ungeared positions.

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