JSE in the Cross Hairs (and Proposing Changes) | Don't Fight the Trend
WorldWide Markets with Simon Brown
Release Date: 11/11/2025
WorldWide Markets with Simon Brown
Worldwide Markets β Episode 657 (19 November 2025) ποΈπ π₯ This Week on Worldwide Markets Good things are happening in South Africa πΏπ¦, bubble-watching on global markets π, fresh ETF listings from Ninety One π, strong local results (Astral π, WeBuyCars π, Ninety One πΌ), and the Year-End Power Hour opens for bookings π€β¨. π Bubble Talk: When Does It Pop? Guest Insight: Citigroupβs Dirk Willer (via Odd Lots podcast) Definition: A bubble = asset prices 2 standard deviations above the 1-year average. His exit rule: β‘οΈ Identify the drivers β the...
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Worldwide Markets β Episode 656 (12 November) Powered by Standard Bank Global Markets and Shyft β the global money app that puts travel, shopping, payments and investments in the palm of your hand ππΈ 1) JSE Under Pressure ποΈβοΈ Two issues in the spotlight: a) Competition Commission Complaint A2X alleges JSE is being anti-competitive around BDA & settlement. This could have a long regulatory process. No quick outcomes expected. b) Matengu Allegations Matengu alleges share price manipulation and claims to have emails implicating JSE directors. JSE has fired back and...
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π Worldwide Markets β Episode 655 Date: 5 November Host: Simon Brown Powered by: Standard Bank Global Markets & β the global money app for travel, payments & investing. ποΈ This Weekβs Big Questions When will markets crash? π€―π Will we finally get a sovereign ratings upgrade? πΏπ¦πΌ Optasia* listsβ¦ but no IPO fireworks πΌπ SA vehicle sales accelerate again ππ π Shyft Migration Update If you are an OST/Webtrader/ASI client β but have not yet been notified about migrating to Shyft β that simply means your group is scheduled for...
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π World Wide Markets Ep. 654 β 29 October 2025 ποΈ βGold took us up β¦ and gold will take us down.β πͺ Gold Takes the JSE for a Ride Gold led the JSE to record highs β and now itβs leading it back down. Year-to-date returns: Gold +49 %, Harmony +87 %, Pan African +126 %, DRD +150 %, Gold Fields +162 %, AngloGold Ashanti* +167 %! Excluding dividends! Simon notes clear support around $3,600-3,800, with further downside likely. The Top 40 is up ~38 % YTD, but the Resources Index (Resi) is +93 % β remove that, and the marketβs ~20 %. Translation: half this yearβs...
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π Worldwide Markets Ep. 653 β Gold Crashes, Markets Burn, and Optasiaβs JSE Listing ποΈ Hosted by Simon Brown π Recorded: Tuesday, 21 October 2025 π Powered by Standard Bank Global Markets, Retail & Shyft β The global money app that puts travel, shopping, payments and investments in the palm of your hand. π₯ Local Markets Crushed A brutal day on the JSE as the market closed down 2.5%, with resources tumbling 7.8% despite a steady rand (R17.43). Gold miners collapsed: Implats & Sibanye -10%, Gold Fields & Harmony -9%, AngloGold* -8%. PGMs also fell...
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ποΈ Worldwide Markets Ep. 652 β βDividends, Gold, and Gearing Gone Wildβ π 15 October 2025 | Hosted by Simon Brown | Powered by Standard Bank SHYFT πͺ Gold Rush Continues Gold is unstoppable! π Now trading above R4,100/oz, the yellow metal has clocked eight consecutive green weeks β the longest winning streak since early 2024. Simon digs into: π Historical patterns since the pandemic: jump β consolidate β jump again π¦ Central banks as persistent buyers β but what happens if they ever stop? π€ With gold having doubled in three years, central banksβ reserves...
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ποΈ Worldwide Markets Ep. 651 β βValue on the JSE? We Find the Cheapest Sharesβ (8 October 2025) π Recorded Tuesday afternoon | Powered by Standard Bank & π‘ Episode Overview This week Simon Brown digs into value on the JSE β where the cheapest shares might be hiding π. He also unpacks: The Purple Group* pullback π£ π (spoiler: itβs been a wild year!) Upcoming π§ π£ Purple Group: Pullback or Panic? After a huge rally to R2.74, Purple Group has pulled back β but no need to panic. Likely to find support around R2.10, with upside targets around R3.50...
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π Worldwide Markets Episode 650 β 1 October 2025 Hosted by Simon Brown Powered by Standard Bank Global Markets & the π³π π Key Topics This Week π Purple Group* & EasyEquities Purple Group share price up ~150% this year π Results driven by non-revenue income (inactivity fees & loyalty program) Strong client acquisition via Capitec & Discovery Bank partnerships π¦ Trading volumes soaring in a bullish market πΉ Purple Group | YTD to close 29 Sep 25 π° Top 40 hits 100,000 Thanks to gold miners & PGMs βοΈ AngloGold Ashanti* up nearly...
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π Worldwide Markets Ep. 649 β Building a Second Brain π§ β¨ Recorded on 24 September 2025 (from the beach!) β Hosted by Simon Brown This week, Simon takes a break from market talk ππ to explore something equally powerful: how to manage the flood of data and information we face every day. Instead of focusing on stocks, currencies, or central banks, he dives into the idea of creating a "second brain" β a system to capture, organize, and use knowledge effectively. π Episode Highlights π§ Brains are great at decisions β quick choices like what to eat or which route to...
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π World Wide Markets Ep. 648 β Cash-Rich Companies, Fed Cuts & Chinaβs Housing Woes Host: Simon Brown Date: 17 September 2025 π Chinaβs Housing Market New house prices fell 2.5% YoY β still negative since May 2022. Bottomed in October 2023 (-5.9%) and now trending upward. Reflects weak Chinese consumer confidence, similar to South Africa π¨π³πΏπ¦. Evergrandeβs collapse still casts a shadow. Chinese New Home index YonY π¦ Central Banks in Focus FOMC (US): Decision due Wednesday evening. Market expects 25bps cut, with more cuts likely in Oct & Dec. US...
info_outlineWorldwide Markets β Episode 656 (12 November)
Powered by Standard Bank Global Markets and Shyft β the global money app that puts travel, shopping, payments and investments in the palm of your hand ππΈ
1) JSE Under Pressure ποΈβοΈ
Two issues in the spotlight:
a) Competition Commission Complaint
A2X alleges JSE is being anti-competitive around BDA & settlement. This could have a long regulatory process. No quick outcomes expected.
b) Matengu Allegations
Matengu alleges share price manipulation and claims to have emails implicating JSE directors.
- JSE has fired back and asked: Produce the emails.
- There is also a clear seller overhang (ex-director wanting out), which explains the price pressure more plausibly.
Takeaway: Overhang selling often looks like manipulation. But without proof, it's just selling pressure.
2) Should We Scrap SENS Announcements & HEPS? π€π°
The JSE is consulting on two potential changes:
- Reduce some SENS announcements (e.g., administrative ETF notices, floating rate resets, etc.)
- Possibly remove HEPS (Headline Earnings Per Share)
Simonβs view:
π« Do not remove HEPS.
HEPS is invaluable as an adjusted earnings measure, especially in SA where one-off corporate events are common. The process cost argument doesnβt justify removing a critical metric.
4) Donβt Fight the Trend π’π
Two strong trends right now:
a) Gold π₯
- Back above $4,100/oz after two brief red weeks.
- Long-term trend still strongly up.
- No point trying to call tops β enjoy the trend while it runs.
b) Rand πΏπ¦πͺ
- Strengthening since the βliberation blowoutβ in April (~19.90).
- Now around R17.14 β and trend still down (strengthening).
- This is not just USD weakness.
- Big inflows into SA bonds + stronger commodity prices supporting.
Next key level: R17 β If broken, expect move to low R15s.
5) Results Round-Up ππΌ
| Company | Sector | Key Takeaways | Outlook |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stor-Age* | REIT / Self-storage | SA strong, UK okay. Trading near NAV (R17.77). Yield ~7%. | Fairly valued, solid operator. |
| Premier Group | Bread, food manufacturing | Revenue +6%, HEPS +27%. Efficiency gains + declining input costs. | Not cheap, but high quality compounder. |
| GE Aerospace (formerly General Electric) | Aviation Engines & Service | 75% of commercial planes use GE turbines. Service business = high margin recurring revenue. | Trend beneficiary as global travel grows. Expensive, but maybe deserved. |
6) KAP (PG Bison, UniTrans, beds, auto aftermarket) ποΈππ οΈ
- Earnings slump β PE looked blown out, but forward expectations show return to single-digit PE once capex is absorbed.
- Small-caps remain deeply unloved.
- Worth watching, but needs a catalyst.
7) Gold Miners β Pick Your Favourite βοΈβ¨
If gold keeps running, most producers will make serious money.
Simonβs preferences:
- AngloGold Ashanti* (ANG) β strong price action, holding trends well.
- Pan African (PAN) β up 7x since Oct 2022.
Others:
- Harmony β now has meaningful copper exposure.
- Sibanye* β gold + PGMs.
ETF option: Satrix RESI* β doubled this year (helped heavily by gold).
β³ How long to hold?
While gold trend remains intact.
Events & Dates ποΈ
- Monday 17 November @ 10:00 β 91 Income ETFs webcast
Book: justonelap.com/events - Friday 8 December β Final Power Hour:
βPosition Your Portfolio for 2026β
Bookings open next week.