The 2026 Mild Zombie Apocalypse - 2026's Kick Off!
Release Date: 01/16/2026
The Death of Leasehold & The London Construction Collapse
Propenomix with Adam Lawrence
In this jam-packed episode of Propenomix, we navigate the collision of global macroeconomics and the gritty reality of the UK property market. From the "bull in a china shop" impact of Trumponomics on UK SMEs to the legislative earthquake of the Commonhold and Leasehold Reform Bill, we strip away the headlines to reveal what the data actually says. We deep-dive into the "death of leasehold" and the radical 50% threshold for commonhold conversion, dissect the government’s £39bn social housing pledge, and analyze why London’s Build-to-Rent sector is facing a construction "cardiac arrest."...
info_outline
The Great Regional Decoupling & The "Warm Homes" Reality Check
Propenomix with Adam Lawrence
Is your investment strategy built for the reality of 2026, or are you holding onto a "zombie" portfolio? Summary: In this deep-dive episode, Adam Lawrence breaks down the convergence of macroeconomic shifts and regulatory hammers hitting the UK property market. From the "Trumpomics" ripple effect to the government's 152-page Warm Homes Plan, we analyze why the gap between the North and South is widening into a canyon and what the 84% collapse in London construction starts means for your exit strategy. What we cover this week: Trumpomics & Global Yields: How US tariffs and Arctic...
info_outline
The 2026 Mild Zombie Apocalypse - 2026's Kick Off!
Propenomix with Adam Lawrence
The Media is Watching Greenland. I’m Watching the Bond Yields. While the headlines are hyperventilating over Trump’s rhetoric on acquiring Greenland or the "generosity" of Venezuelan oil deals, they are missing the actual story. The structural reality is far more significant: a $200bn direct intervention in the Mortgage-Backed Securities market and a hard cap on credit card interest. This isn’t just populism; it’s market interference of the highest order. And frankly, the Gilts are loving it. Back home, the "Zombie Apocalypse" has officially arrived—at least according to the...
info_outline
2026 Predictions: Adam vs. AI, Trump-onomics & The "Real" UK Economy
Propenomix with Adam Lawrence
Is it time to submit to the AI overlords? In this first full supplement of 2026, Adam Lawrence kicks off the year with a unique experiment: he trained an AI on a year’s worth of Propynomics content to predict the macro and property landscape for 2026. Does the AI know Adam better than he knows himself? Tune in to hear where they agree - and the critical areas where Adam vehemently disagrees (especially on rents!). We also tackle the return of "Trump-onomics" and the concept of "Net Wars" , alongside a deep dive into the UK’s "Inclusive Wealth" accounts - proof that the economy...
info_outline
UK Property Market 2026: Trumpomics, Renters' Rights & The Golden Quarter
Propenomix with Adam Lawrence
Are you ready for "The Golden Quarter"? In this episode, we take a deep dive into the critical window of opportunity opening up for property investors between now and May 1st, 2026. Adam Lawrence reviews the economic landscape at the close of 2025 and explains why the upcoming implementation of the Renters' Rights Act is triggering a strategic sell-off among amateur landlords. We break down the macroeconomic factors driving these changes—from the surprising resilience of "Trumpomics" and US GDP growth to the stark reality of the UK’s rental market and the "construction crisis" in...
info_outline
BoE Cuts to 3.75%: The "Output Trap," Rising Unemployment & The 2026 Investor Outlook
Propenomix with Adam Lawrence
The Bank of England has finally cut rates to 3.75%, but the razor-thin 5-4 vote signals that the battle against inflation is far from over. In this episode, we break down the latest "Propenomics" analysis of the UK economic landscape as we head into 2026. From the "Suicide by Unemployment" risk to the growing divide between public and private sector pay, we analyse why the BoE is behind the curve—and what that means for your portfolio. We also discuss the new realities of "Trumpomics," the "Output Trap," and why yield-chasing in London is becoming a dangerous game. Key Topics Discussed: ...
info_outline
The £2.8bn Homelessness Crisis, Trumpnomics & The 2026 Property Playbook
Propenomix with Adam Lawrence
Episode Summary: In this pivotal episode of Propenomix, Adam Lawrence bridges the gap between the immediate humanitarian crisis on our doorstep and the macroeconomic shockwaves shaping the global landscape. From the staggering £2.8 billion cost of the UK’s homelessness emergency to the return of "Trumpnomics" and its ripple effects on British property, this is an episode about cause, effect, and strategy. As we approach the festive season, the conversation begins with Homes for Christmas - not just as a sentiment, but as a critical look at the UK’s housing failure. We then pivot to the...
info_outline
UK Housing Deep Dive: The 30-Year Mortgage Trap & Construction Collapse
Propenomix with Adam Lawrence
Episode Description: Are we witnessing the hardening of structural fault lines in the UK housing market? In this episode, we break down the newly released English Housing Survey (EHS 2024-25) and critical November economic indicators. From the "temporal stretching" of mortgages to a construction sector "deep in the red," we reveal why the UK property landscape is becoming a high-risk, high-reward environment for investors—and a financial squeeze for everyone else. In this episode, we cover: The 30-Year Norm: Why 62% of First-Time Buyers are now locking into 30+ year terms just to enter the...
info_outline
Supplement 30 Nov 25 - The Greatest Trick the Devil Ever Pulled
Propenomix with Adam Lawrence
The Budget: What actually happened (vs. what they told you) The dust has settled on the Budget, but the rhetoric is still blinding the market. This week, we strip away the political spin and look at the raw math. From the "real" net migration figures to the Scottish rental data that is predicting the future of the English PRS—we are connecting the dots others are ignoring. In this episode: Trumpwatch: The macro impact you aren't seeing. The Budget Deep Dive: Assessments from the left and right (the ones that actually matter). Gilt & Swaps: The signal in the noise. ...
info_outline
2025 Budget LIVE! - Commentary as it happened
Propenomix with Adam Lawrence
Join Adam Lawrence and Duncan Hooper for a deep-dive analysis of the 2025 UK Budget in this special live-recorded episode of Propenomix. In what might be the most anticipated fiscal event in years, Adam and Duncan unpack the realities behind Chancellor Rachel Reeves' "Smorgasbord Budget" and what it truly means for property investors, business owners, and the wider UK economy. Cutting through the political noise and media spin, this discussion offers a critical look at the numbers that matter. Adam and Duncan explore the implications of frozen income tax thresholds, the controversial new...
info_outlineThe Media is Watching Greenland. I’m Watching the Bond Yields.
While the headlines are hyperventilating over Trump’s rhetoric on acquiring Greenland or the "generosity" of Venezuelan oil deals, they are missing the actual story. The structural reality is far more significant: a $200bn direct intervention in the Mortgage-Backed Securities market and a hard cap on credit card interest. This isn’t just populism; it’s market interference of the highest order. And frankly, the Gilts are loving it.
Back home, the "Zombie Apocalypse" has officially arrived—at least according to the Resolution Foundation. But before you panic, look at the maths. We are staring down the barrel of 0.2% real household disposable income growth and a demographic cliff where deaths finally outnumber births. The era of cheap money and easy capital growth is over. 2026 is about survival, defensive yields, and cash flow.
In this week’s Macroscope and Deep Dive, we strip away the "realistic optimism" marketing fluff to look at the cold, hard data:
-
Trumponomics & Market Interference: Why the $200bn MBS purchase is a "crisis move" in non-crisis times, and why US yield compression is the only thing saving UK borrowers right now.
-
The "Zombie" Economy: The Resolution Foundation calls it a "mild zombie apocalypse," but with insolvencies at 2011 highs and stagnant wages, the "reallocation" of labour looks a lot like pain for the private sector.
-
Savills’ 2026 Outlook: They’re predicting a 3% base rate and a return to "normality." I break down why "normality" now means high regulation, zero supply, and why you shouldn't bank on capital growth to bail out a bad yield.
-
The Density Delusion: The Policy Exchange wants "Gentle Density" and mansion blocks. A lovely idea, until it hits the reality of the 18-metre rule and the Building Safety Act.
The Takeaway: If your strategy relies on a V-shaped recovery or a return to the low-rate environment of 2021, you are fighting the maths. 2026 is a year for the brave, but only if the numbers stack up on day one.
The Next Step: If you want to professionalise your portfolio and stop relying on luck, join the workshop. This is where we do the work the industry ignores. Join here: https://tinyurl.com/pbwnine
Challenge: Forward this episode to your broker or investment partner. Ask them if their 2026 projections account for a 0.2% growth in tenant disposable income. If they don’t have an answer, you need to talk.