Hotspotting
info_outline Building CollapsesHotspotting
info_outline Approvals V ConstructionHotspotting
Two very different headlines have summed up the problems for Australia’s ongoing housing shortage. One of the recent media headlines declared that building approvals were at a two-year high and that things were improving for the nation’s housing shortage. The other described why building approvals are almost irrelevant – it said that project deferrals are occurring at a record rate. The reality of the current crisis is this: it doesn’t matter how many houses and apartments are approved for construction – and it doesn’t matter how many re-zonings state governments push through...
info_outline Webinar Replay: Reflections & Projections - A Deep Dive into Real Estate Trends & ForecastsHotspotting
In this insightful webinar, Terry Ryder, founder of Hotspotting, and Tim Graham, Hotspotting’s General Manager, analyze the surprises and trends of 2024 in the Australian property market and share their projections for 2025. With decades of combined experience, they provide investors with actionable advice on navigating the coming year. Key Highlights 2024 in Review Defying Predictions: Despite high interest rates and inflationary pressures, property prices rose by an average of 5.53% nationally in 2024. Perth led with an astonishing 18.7% growth, followed by regional Western Australia,...
info_outline Best Buys ResultHotspotting
You don’t have to be super rich or invest $1 million to make big capital gains in residential real estate: you just need to follow Hotspotting’s signature report, the National Top 10 Best Buys report. Those who followed the tips in our report of a year ago could have made close to $100,000 in capital gains spending as little as $400,000 – or $180,000 in gains after investing $630,000. In December 2023 we published our National Top Best Buys reports for Summer 2023-34. Our top 10 locations for investors to consider covered a wide range of price points, from less than $300,000 and above $1...
info_outline Listings RiseHotspotting
The greatest complaint heard most often in real estate across Australia is that there are plenty of buyers, but a shortage of listings. The number of properties for sale has been well short of the levels needed for a balanced market, particularly in the boom cities of Adelaide, Brisbane and Perth. But that is steadily changing. According to SQM Research, total listings of properties for sale nationwide grew 7.6% in November and are now more than 10% higher than a year ago. Perhaps most significantly, there were major rises in November in those three boom cities, with the...
info_outline Media AbsurditiesHotspotting
Things are constantly changing in real estate nationwide but the one factor that never changes is this: we can always rely on news media to distort the facts and deliver a steady flow of misinformation to Australian consumers, all in the interests of attracting readership, with little regard for accuracy, honesty or fairness. The past week or so has been chockful of media nonsense. If you can believe the headlines, the national property boom is over, house prices are plunging, the rental boom is over and the North Queensland city of Townsville is a mining town. One of the constants of my...
info_outline 2025 PredictionsHotspotting
Rumours of the death of ‘the national property boom’ are greatly exaggerated – especially since we didn’t have a national property boom in 2024. Rather, over the past 12 months, we have seen differing market cycles in many locations - as is the usual state of play in real estate throughout Australia. Strong property price growth was recorded in Perth, Adelaide, and Brisbane in 2024, but not in Melbourne, Sydney, Canberra, Darwin or Hobart. Similarly, in the regional areas, there were declining and stagnating markets, as well as some where prices were showing good price...
info_outline Regional Investment BoomHotspotting
Victoria’s real estate market is witnessing a significant shift as young first-home buyers increasingly seek affordable housing in regional areas. According to recent data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS), first-home buyer loans in Victoria soared to 4,202 in July – the highest number in nearly two years. This surge reflects growing confidence among young buyers and a trend towards exploring housing options beyond Melbourne. Nationally, the Commonwealth Bank of Australia and the Regional Australia Institute report that the flow of people from cities...
info_outline Units Beat HousesHotspotting
Hotspotting was among the first to identify and highlight the most significant change in the Australian real estate scene – the emerging trend which we document in the quarterly editions of the report titled The Rise and Rise of Apartments., published in association with Nuestar. This trend has turned upside down the dominant paradigm in real estate, that houses out-perform apartments on capital growth. There is now growing evidence that attached dwellings are mounting a strong challenge to houses. It has long been believed that land content was the big thing in driving...
info_outlineThe trend we have termed “The Rise and Rise of Apartments” continues to pick up pace. Across Australia, more and more buyers are opting for attached dwellings for lifestyle, for affordability, for convenience and for safety.
One of the features that draws growing numbers of buyers (and tenants) to apartments is location appeal. Not only do attached dwellings allow people to access property in good locations at cheaper prices than houses, but the average unit is better located than the average house.
A report titled “Measuring Home Price Differences” by Infrastructure Victoria has found that units consistently trump houses on proximity to desirable features.
“Units are located closer to selected infrastructure types, on average, than houses and townhouses,” the report says.
The report found that units were far more likely to be located close to train stations, tram stops, major activity centres and arterial roads than houses. “About 60% of units are within 1.6km of a tram stop, while this distance only includes about 20% of houses,” the report says.
This is one of multiple factors driving higher demand for units – challenging the dominant paradigm of real estate. That paradigm, still widely accepted in the real estate industry, states that houses always outperform units and townhouses on capital growth.
But that is undoubtedly changing.
We are seeing growing evidence that more and more buyers of various sorts are opting for attached dwellings. Buyer demand in locations where units dominate the dwelling mix - or are a significant part of the dwelling mix - has been rising notably for the past 12-18 months.
Suburbs where units prominent are now among the most powerful markets in Australia – which makes our Top 10 Apartment Hotspots report essential reading for investors seeking opportunities in 2024 and beyond.
Those seeking out well-located and affordable apartments include older people downsizing from a large family home.
They also include …
-
young people seeking an affordable first step on the property ladder;
-
lifestyle buyers seeking low-maintenance, lock-up-and-leave options in good locations;
-
overseas migrants from countries where unit-style living is the norm;
-
investors seeking affordability and higher rental yields in good locations; and
-
buyers who seek the security and safety of an apartment above ground level.
In inner-city precincts in our biggest cities, houses can typically cost over $2 million, but apartments can be bought in the $600,000s and $700,000s in the same suburbs in many cases.
The rental yields are also significantly higher, a key consideration in times of higher interest rates – although it needs to be remembered that apartments do entail additional costs like body corporate fees.
But the most noteworthy data relates to capital growth. In a growing number of locations throughout Australia, apartments have recorded larger increases in median prices than houses, both in the past year and over the longer term.
At Surfers Paradise on the Gold Coast, apartments are considerably cheaper than houses, sell faster, have higher rental yields, have recorded bigger price growth in the past year – and the long-term capital growth rate also is superior.
There are many, many more examples like this across Australia.
New data from CoreLogic shows that apartment values are rising faster than those of houses in about six out of 10 suburbs.
This is also reflected in the general results for many of our major cities.
In the past three months, the median price for units in Brisbane rose 5.8 per cent, while houses increased 3.4 per cent.
Adelaide units outperformed houses by the same margin after increasing by 7.1 per cent during the same period.
Unit prices are also rising at a faster rate than houses across Sydney, Melbourne, Perth and Hobart, although they have fallen behind in Darwin and Canberra.
Across the combined capital cities, unit values rose faster than house values in 506 suburbs out of a total of 855 suburbs, with some unit markets gaining more than seven times more than houses.