Hotspotting
Household wealth in Australia keeps rising and the key reason for that is residential property – which accounts for 68 per cent of the total wealth of Australian households. New data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) shows that total household wealth has reached $16.5 trillion. Now, that number doesn’t mean much to the average observer, so here are some other numbers that give it some context. That household wealth figure represented a 1.5 per cent rise in the June quarter and the current level of the highest on record. It’s 9.3 per cent higher than a year ago, and it means...
info_outline ANZ's Late Price GuessHotspotting
ANZ, the worst forecaster on property price outcomes in the nation, has just published its forecasts for what will happen with house prices in 2024. Yes, that’s right. They’ve published, in October, forecasts for house prices this year, a couple of months before the end of the year. Why have they done this? Because it’s the only chance ANZ has of getting it right with its property price forecasts. Essentially what it has done with these “predictions” is take the existing situation and extrapolate it two months into the future. So, you will be amazed to learn that they’re...
info_outline Unit Surge UnstoppableHotspotting
The biggest paradigm-changing trend in Australian real estate, the rise and rise of apartments, is confirmed by the latest price data from the usual suspects – and is reflected in our choices for the latest edition of our most popular report, the National Top 10 Best Buys report. The latest price data from CoreLogic shows that unit prices are rising faster than house prices. While news media, in its predictable fashion, focussed on the perceived negatives in the CoreLogic Home Value Index published in October, my analysis of the figures is that they provide further evidence that rising...
info_outline Mastering Property Management in Today's Market with Corinne Bohan of Image PropertyHotspotting
Join us for an insightful and essential webinar hosted by Terry Ryder, Founder of Hotspotting, and Corinne Bohan, Managing Director of Image Property, as they dive into the crucial role of professional property management in today’s rapidly changing rental landscape. In this engaging session, you'll discover: Building Your Winning Team: Learn why investors must focus on assembling a strong management team before growing their property portfolio and how a first-rate property manager can be a game-changer, especially in the face of evolving regulations. Navigating the Rental Market: Gain...
info_outline Price Predictor Index Spring Edition: Units ThrivingHotspotting
The new Spring edition of The Price Predictor Index provides emphatic confirmation of the most compelling trend in Australian real estate: the escalating demand for apartments and their challenge to houses on capital growth performance. We have been speaking about the rise and rise of apartments for the past 18 months and there is a growing body of evidence which confirms that more and more buyers are opting for attached dwellings: units, apartments and townhouses. Our analysis of sales activity data for the latest quarter for the Spring edition of The Price Predictor Index reveals that this...
info_outline Canstar: The Dream Is AliveHotspotting
Affordability is the most-debated and the most confused issue in residential real estate. While the rental shortage and rising rents occupies the minds of many, the property issue that occupies the most space most often in news media and in the minds of Australian consumers is housing affordability. It has been this way for years, indeed for decades. And while the so-called Great Australian Dream is often declared dead, with young people doomed to a lifetime of renting, the evidence suggests otherwise. I recently finished working on a report with financial comparison website Canstar which...
info_outline The Art of Buying Against the Grain with Arjun Paliwal of InvestorkitHotspotting
In this episode of the Hotspotting Podcast, Tim Graham sits down with Arjun Paliwal, the Managing Director of Investorkit and a two-time REB Buyers Agency of the Year winner. Arjun shares insights on his unique approach to property investment, focusing on "buying against the grain." Here are some of the key topics discussed: Episode Highlights: Introduction to Arjun Paliwal: Arjun kicks off by talking about his journey in the property industry, how he scaled Investorkit, and the importance of innovation in finding investment hotspots. The Concept of 'Buying Against the Grain':...
info_outline Listing LeapHotspotting
Australian real estate has been characterised by three different types of shortage which have put upward pressure on rents and prices. Those are the shortage of rental properties, the shortage of new dwellings under construction and the shortage of homes listed for sale. While the shortage of rental homes and the under-supply of new homes persists, there has been recent improvement in the number of homes listed for sale by vendors. SQM Research finds that the number of residential property listings nationwide rose by 8% in August, bringing the total to almost 250,000 properties, up from...
info_outline Airbnb FurphyHotspotting
State governments across Australia have no meaningful policies for easing the chronic under-supply of rental properties – but they do have a talent for using the rental shortage as an excuse to raise extra revenue from the housing market. One of the primary tactics they use is to scapegoat a section of the community and blame them for the problem that they, the politicians, have created – and then hit the demonised group with new taxes and pretend that they’re doing it to deal with the rental shortage. The worst offender in this regard, although not the only one, is the State Government...
info_outline CoreLogic IllogicHotspotting
CoreLogic is one of Australia's leading sources of data on residential real estate matters, although increasingly overshadowed by other, smarter data organisations like PropTrack. CoreLogic has lots of statistics about housing markets but when it comes to analysis and commentary, CoreLogic is very often a source of illogic. Their problem, like so many companies that comment on Australian housing markets, is that they employ economists to analyse real estate and the outcome very often is kindergarten analysis. Here’s a recent example: According to , property markets outside the capital...
info_outlineAdelaide’s property market, one of the nation’s strongest in the past two years, has strengthened further recently.
ales volumes shows that market activity in the June quarter was the highest for Greater Adelaide since mid-2022.
The June Quarter sales levels represented a 25% increase on the March Quarter and were 10% higher than the same time last year.
This is despite the reality that listings of homes for sale across Adelaide are the lowest at any time in the past 15 years, according to SQM Research figures.
This continues Adelaide’s track record as a market with consistently high performance and helps to explain why it has been a challenger to Perth as the market with the highest price growth in the past two years.
Adelaide’s median house price rose 15% in the 12 months to August 2024, while the median unit price increased 12%, according to PropTrack data.
Only Perth has recorded higher annual price growth.
Across the Greater Adelaide market, suburbs with positive trends with sales activity outnumber those with negative ones by a factor of three to one.
The Greater Adelaide area has standout markets across all price ranges, including affordable municipalities like Playford and Salisbury, middle market areas including Marion and West Torrens, and more upmarket locations such as the Unley, Holdfast Bay and Charles Sturt LGAs.
The Playford LGA, which contains Adelaide’s cheapest suburbs, is the most popular precinct for buyers, with over 800 dwelling sales in the June Quarter. That was 31% higher than the same time last year – and a 53% increase on the March Quarter.
Most Playford suburbs have positive sales trends, either rising or consistent, with Blakeview and Davoren Park in particular standing out for their consistent buyer demand. The median house price for Blakeview has risen 16% to $550,000 in the past 12 months, while Davoren Park is up 33% to $440,000.
Davoren Park had a median house price of just $175,000 three years ago.
The neighbouring Salisbury LGA, another precinct targeted for its affordable homes, is also a strong performer with sales levels considerably higher than the March Quarter and also the same time in 2023. Rising markets in the City of Salisbury are headed by standout suburbs like Ingle Farm and Mawson Lakes.
The median house price for Ingle Farm was $380,000 three years ago and is now $655,000, after 19% growth in the past 12 months.
Another outer-ring location with outstanding numbers is the Mount Barker LGA, which has recorded the highest quarterly sales numbers in more than three years. The suburbs with strongly rising sales activity include Nairne and Mount Barker. Nairne’s median house price has risen 17% to $750,000 in the past 12 months.
Among the middle market areas, the West Torrens LGA is a notable performer with a significant increase in sales activity in the June Quarter – the highest levels since late in 2021. There are no suburbs with negative trends in West Torrens, while rising markets are headed by Underdale, Torrensville, Plympton and Fulham.
The Port-Adelaide Enfield LGA has numerous suburbs with positive ratings, with sales activity overall much higher in the June Quarter compared to the March Quarter and the same time last year. Notable rising markets include Lightsview and Blair Athol.
The City of Marion has recorded its highest quarterly sales numbers since mid-2022 in a market dominated by suburbs with positive sales trends, including rising suburbs Warradale, Hallett Cove and Edwardstown. The median house price for Hallett Cove has risen from $470,000 to $800,000 in the past four years.
Some of Adelaide’s more upmarket precincts are also travelling well. Ten of the suburbs in the Charles Sturt LGA are ranked as rising markets, headed by Flinders Park, Findon and Bowden.
Sales activity has been rising steadily in the Holdfast Bay municipality in the past four quarters. A standout feature is that the unit markets in both Glenelg and Glenelg North are classified as rising markets in our latest analysis.
The upmarket City of Unley has a particularly strong June Quarter, with sales numbers up almost 50% on the March Quarter. Rising suburbs include Parkside (median house price $1.3 million), Clarence Park ($1.27 million) and Myrtle Bank ($1.6 million).
The overall conclusion is that the Adelaide market continues to pump strongly and is likely to be a national market leader on price growth for the foreseeable future.